Champions League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3495e2970fab047786df45588c5b6f439d4727bd92fed240888277e745c3573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 13,693$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.75 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 59c | 8,839$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 59c | 7,985$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.13 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 59c | 6,769$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 55c | 2,887$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.79 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 59c | 2,879$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.36 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 51c | 2,780$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.81 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 2,561$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.83 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 40c | 1,751$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.38 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 42c | 1,562$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 64c | 1,389$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 40c | 1,263$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,193$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,148$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 39c | 1,125$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.94 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 61c | 813.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 12c | 628.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 554.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 41c | 489.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Yes | 80c | 448.13$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes | 57c | 424.89$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 60c | 399.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 39c | 355$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…c4c8backed No | 60c | 345$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes | 42c | 282.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01e…f73abacked Yes | 40c | 277.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 49c | 275.2$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…037cbacked No | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 65c | 258.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 34c | 258.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 59c | 257.56$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 37c | 254.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.14 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 40c | 251.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 40c | 251.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed No | 61c | 240.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 38c | 239.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 60c | 229.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…0801backed Yes | 42c | 202.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 202$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 60c | 200.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 34c | 160$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…c252backed Yes | 40c | 158$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 36c | 153.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 40c | 149.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7587backed Yes | 40c | 146.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…b1dabacked Yes | 40c | 144$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 64c | 143.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 59c | 137.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 41c | 137.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 137.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 80c | 134.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…d541backed Yes | 40c | 132$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…e9f0backed No | 60c | 118$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 59c | 100.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 61c | 100.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 41c | 97.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 62c | 96.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 59c | 92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bca6backed No | 60c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 46c | 85.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…0eccbacked Yes | 40c | 83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 21c | 82.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 67c | 79.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed No | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…0ad8backed Yes | 40c | 78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 32c | 74.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 71c | 71.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 69.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…3f30backed No | 61c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…b4c3backed No | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…15c4backed No | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 59c | 66.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed No | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…0c9fbacked Yes | 40c | 62.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…1086backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?this page
- Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.