TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x431d…a7d9backed Yes31c100,125$31,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,038.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2982…4d7fbacked No69c100,125$69,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,038.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes32c7,813$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No68c7,002$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.623839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c7…8371backed Yes29c6,005$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No79c4,848$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.559244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c4,050$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.9940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No67c3,198$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.9236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed No70c3,109$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes22c2,712$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No71c2,292$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.765853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes25c2,057$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.139842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No69c1,937$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No68c1,698$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6617658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No68c1,470$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.421464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No68c1,367$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.418748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed No78c1,100$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2374235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No66c1,045$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5119453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked No68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104052.5%21 W · 19 L+9.3wins+0.23per pick29cpaid+261.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4bac…263abacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes30c901.92$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.174637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No68c833.27$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6523942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c824.98$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No68c814.82$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.742860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes32c630.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No73c623.09$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7112147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c622.2$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked No68c472.75$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…1a89backed Yes32c456.25$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ed9…8a62backed Yes28c433.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+307.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5b…53b1backed Yes34c426.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xbd33…0301backed Yes31c372$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes19c371.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No67c330.83$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.185754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa293…2919backed Yes31c330.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.381637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bda…8028backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes22c286.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.199350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4532…d422backed Yes33c272.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb9…6ed8backed Yes33c272.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d9…45cabacked Yes35c269.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No68c264$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed No69c260.72$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b6…ed1ebacked Yes32c231.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd16…7467backed Yes32c221$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked No70c212.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…09c6backed No68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0227…750bbacked Yes33c203.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ab…ec05backed No68c201.8$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6416836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xda8a…9c0cbacked No69c197.07$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed No68c196.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Yes33c194.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd744…c531backed No69c192$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa761…990ebacked No69c186.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed No68c181.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…a470backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x679b…28c4backed Yes32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked No68c167.84$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa672…34f4backed Yes32c165$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384c…9cd7backed Yes31c164$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed No69c163.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes32c151.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.959538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa6…b8a9backed Yes33c147.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eaa…2291backed Yes19c145.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…25ebbacked Yes33c145$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8618650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418f…b7b6backed Yes32c108.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bb…7e33backed Yes31c103$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf3…326bbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe470…954ebacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e4a…9fe7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71d…fd05backed No68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e05…8d2dbacked Yes32c94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e5…dcc5backed No69c93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb474…a4bcbacked No67c91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.031163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe985…8f5ebacked No67c89.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9b…ac22backed No68c89.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…d3c4backed No67c88.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.