TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf332…1601

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.31
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$24.24
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.42
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$14.19
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$12.05
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.73
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+159.3%+$91.74
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.42
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$12.94
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.67
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.29
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$188.14
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+29.4%+$46.58
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+121.2%+$484.93
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+59.8%+$963.51
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$260.21
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.07
Will Everton win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$22.38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Everton win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$147.46
Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+96.7%+$125.71
Will Arsenal vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+355.1%+$292.21
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$929.41
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Leicester vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+241.7%+$142.61
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$120.92
Will Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$162.36
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+376.2%+$473.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$21.39
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.68
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$28.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11.78
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$26.82
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$889.16
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+66.5%+$1,865.41
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$26.88
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$789.03
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.04
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+143.9%+$118
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+566.7%+$850
Will Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+525%+$525
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.