Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa805138edce8425ea69c00507eb276cecafaaec00166beba6ccac5ea97759aa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 74c | 8,344$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.67 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 31c | 3,103$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.95 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 2,559$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.41 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed No | 79c | 2,540$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,455$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.03 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 2,394$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.52 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 24c | 1,904$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.68 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,653$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 41c | 1,468$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,307$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.49 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 31c | 808.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 61c | 746.27$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.22 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 17c | 617.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Yes | 44c | 613.6$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes | 18c | 576$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed No | 64c | 561.09$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…ee97backed Yes | 61c | 483.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 17c | 322.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 66c | 301.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Yes | 17c | 213.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed No | 74c | 182.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 17c | 177.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 72c | 137.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 16c | 129.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 33c | 126.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Yes | 60c | 109.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…6deabacked Yes | 16c | 104.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…1eb3backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 38c | 82.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 31c | 67.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 60c | 66.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 16c | 63.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…1bd1backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed No | 43c | 23.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…a70dbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.