TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd32d…3c32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT11655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.03
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Blue Jackets vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$14.94
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.66
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$12.95
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$16.57
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT3517.1%6 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.52
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+424%+$522.42
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.49
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+981.1%+$455.55
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.8
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+219.7%+$107.86
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+70.2%+$10.53
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
White Sox vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Nationalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Blue Jays vs. Angelsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+119.2%+$17.88
Giants vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Blue Jays vs. Angelsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Giants vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Phillies vs. Raysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Giants vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Dodgers vs. Bravesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+130.7%+$26.15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+56.8%+$14.98
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+320.6%+$45.08
Will the Jets draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?backed Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Patriots draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Shedeur Sanders be a top 5 draft pick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+152.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+101.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.