TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-04-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No59c13,045$7,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,728.230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No2c9,049$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.093910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4369…6055backed No0c6,010$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.997652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes40c4,619$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.3579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes42c3,238$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.112642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes41c2,867$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4513547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No12c2,724$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No12c2,232$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No58c2,200$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2764124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c1,865$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.811,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No60c1,826$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.788045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88519735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes44c1,235$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.044829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a7c9backed No58c1,058$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1699…80e2backed Yes42c1,058$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No12c1,010$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.217745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58011454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No58c799.99$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.994963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes39c761.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.7713857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ad…0b30backed Yes43c730$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d79…f0d8backed No57c720$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No59c699.99$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.993836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed No58c630.84$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.892236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35421353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No6c595$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.615257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa55f…f4f4backed No57c550$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…b5dcbacked Yes43c550$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No56c546.96$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.317447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes44c439.43$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.085358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e8…68a7backed Yes43c430$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…dbadbacked No57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yes65c394.88$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No59c369.49$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2188155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…fc9dbacked No57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…7692backed Yes43c315$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes42c307.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3421445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes41c270$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.31127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…1a2dbacked Yes43c270$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fb43backed No57c245$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes43c234.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.918825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No13c233.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x982c…7f81backed No57c225$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86dc…94a1backed No58c199.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes39c166.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No58c157.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.118752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553e…f77abacked Yes43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No58c135$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.39756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf913…6f1ebacked Yes41c132.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes44c129.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.421947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x318a…360bbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes42c104.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.765642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bd…019dbacked Yes43c95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+78.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fcc…b622backed No61c87.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e18…a49cbacked No61c81.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No61c79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9952060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.776139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes40c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.47534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes43c44.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1913354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb93…77b9backed No57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b87…e97cbacked Yes41c34.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1cd8backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.756746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes42c28.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.573959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ab…6928backed Yes44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes41c26.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7140135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes42c26.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.198339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes41c25.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5138…3d13backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc4…fd05backed No59c17.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.