Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd51ac915dc1088b25efb4d8b6c57d7b66f52b85f2578c899d3f7489f956a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c1…67debacked Yes | 11c | 125,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 71c | 4,276$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.02 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 29c | 3,067$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.45 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…12c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,735$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 27c | 1,189$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.04 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 73c | 1,086$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 831.78$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 26c | 653$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 28c | 498.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 71c | 452.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 398.76$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 316.93$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 29c | 243.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 26c | 192.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 72c | 123.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 102.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 28c | 75.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-13?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.