TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x70ff…aa94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
284
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.68
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.94
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$20.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10951.4%56 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$34.03
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$16.44
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$24.46
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$14.1
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$35.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will the Champions League Final be decided in extra time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$29.78
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.