NFL · resolved market
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166bba522fbab6cd8ba0cefbe6ffb79af3e5226b97a182449ca1393d048ddda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9af5…5312backed No | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.51 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 63c | 12,945$8,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155.55 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.91 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 37c | 4,845$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.4 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…f2fcbacked Yes | 64c | 4,708$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 36c | 4,616$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…4f7ebacked Yes | 64c | 4,552$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 35c | 4,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 50c | 4,331$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.67 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 64c | 3,860$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.42 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 36c | 3,619$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.09 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 14c | 2,500$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 36c | 1,942$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.99 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…d11abacked Yes | 65c | 1,581$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed Yes | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 63c | 1,496$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed No | 47c | 1,382$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,300$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 35c | 1,300$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.52 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…490bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…5bc8backed Yes | 65c | 1,090$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 38c | 1,029$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…afd7backed Yes | 42c | 885.21$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 64c | 836.85$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes | 42c | 833.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 63c | 807.94$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.92 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 63c | 799.95$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…3687backed Yes | 64c | 780.08$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 35c | 749.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…aed5backed Yes | 66c | 721.72$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 65c | 546.69$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…aa00backed Yes | 56c | 534.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 64c | 521.19$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…cc94backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…dbc2backed Yes | 64c | 390.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 65c | 308.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 64c | 300$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 67c | 299.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 36c | 288.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 63c | 256.25$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…0e9bbacked Yes | 66c | 241.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…25acbacked Yes | 64c | 235.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…422cbacked Yes | 64c | 235$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 35c | 212.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…50babacked Yes | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…7374backed Yes | 64c | 181.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes | 55c | 180.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…3eeebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…50d2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…d582backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…ff15backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…5fa4backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…6a0fbacked Yes | 24c | 151.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…3313backed Yes | 63c | 149.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 67c | 149.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…20a5backed Yes | 65c | 149.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…cce9backed Yes | 49c | 143.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3b…dc63backed Yes | 36c | 142.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…c371backed Yes | 65c | 141.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 66c | 140.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 139.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 20c | 128.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…7f5ebacked Yes | 50c | 126.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…b5bfbacked Yes | 64c | 125.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…9507backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…e9ccbacked No | 38c | 115.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…3cbbbacked No | 40c | 112.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 65c | 110$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 36c | 105.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…bdc3backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4372backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 65c | 90.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…f837backed No | 38c | 90.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…368abacked No | 38c | 85.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…9759backed Yes | 65c | 82.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…bed5backed Yes | 65c | 80.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will A.J. Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Dallas Goedert score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will DeAndre Hopkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will DeVonta Smith score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will E.J. Jenkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Grant Calcaterra score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Isiah Pacheco score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Johnny Wilson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will JuJu Smith-Schuster score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Justin Watson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will KC Chiefs D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kareem Hunt score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kenneth Gainwell score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Marquise Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Noah Gray score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will PHI Eagles D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Travis Kelce score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Xavier Worthy score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.