TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Dallas Goedert score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,476 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb35b…fc08backed No76c2,793$2,123 inWon+$670.4317823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x890f…19cbbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No75c1,900$1,425 inWon+$47544246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes24c1,042$250 inLost-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed No78c710.85$552 inWon+$159.12548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes22c600$132 inLost-$13215044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b9…c9c8backed Yes22c456$100 inLost-$100.321729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No78c437.29$341 inWon+$96.2224738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94d5…74eabacked Yes24c375$90 inLost-$902254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c300$225 inWon+$7541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost-$508540%34 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost-$5016645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Yes25c200$50 inLost-$503828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdf…aabdbacked Yes25c120.85$30 inLost-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No75c120$90 inWon+$3014926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost-$24.89181.3%74 W · 17 L+15.9wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdca9…ac31backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-83.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed No78c59.54$46 inWon+$13.18450%42 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No75c50$38 inWon+$12.54047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8183…70c8backed Yes24c50$12 inLost-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No78c40$31 inWon+$8.859453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b59…c5a9backed No79c33.2$26 inWon+$6.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No79c20$16 inWon+$4.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…5080backed No73c20$15 inWon+$5.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.