TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Travis Kelce score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4999…5fcebacked No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed No59c4,500$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.9417823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed No60c1,464$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.3424351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1411…a536backed Yes41c1,236$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…c960backed Yes41c1,098$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes41c784.28$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes39c767$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1315252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Yes41c610.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.961625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed No61c516.94$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7811738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x980a…aed5backed Yes41c488.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.281216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c375$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11741540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No59c291.44$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.494746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed No61c267$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.132138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.79946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccc…5393backed Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.54245.2%19 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52015%3 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Yes41c244.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acf…e8dcbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c91…fd02backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No64c235.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9318650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c13…2096backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No58c183.57$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.114926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0616…0f99backed Yes41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes41c132.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.759453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7761…0d39backed Yes40c127.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes40c122.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c89…e6f7backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd73…3cc4backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399724.7%24 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b23…8278backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdb…08c7backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2525453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6bc…df62backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No60c83.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.513450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa308…9938backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No62c80.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7355345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd737…71bbbacked No60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed No60c79.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.732548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes39c77.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4115044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Yes41c75.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…0b50backed Yes42c71.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked Yes40c67.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279181.3%74 W · 17 L+15.9wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3bd1backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0c…6565backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes32c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.612343.1%53 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dbb…5ffebacked Yes41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+84.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc25…4d73backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3d…14f2backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd389…4b84backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083a…ef1ebacked Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2db…e076backed Yes40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca9…ac31backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-83.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…89acbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc514…aa00backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8636…05d8backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca8…1698backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x766e…7a88backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Yes43c47.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.615261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bfd…b906backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No57c43.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.794047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes39c37.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…ea47backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc3b…bdc3backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…e281backed Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…8ef1backed Yes38c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed12…86f8backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102010%2 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-78.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e42…c629backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8bd…1b8abacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.