TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c89…e6f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT6770.1%47 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47%+$5.53
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.73
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Miguel Tobonbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Bucharest Open: Gabi Boitan vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.35
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5.25
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$14.85
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shelton vs. Shevchenko: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Sakamoto (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rei Sakamoto vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Alexandre Muller vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$8.13
Miami Open, Qualification: Alexander Blockx vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$51.43
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$36.67
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.68
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$20.36
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.