NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4833d92d241b009662b40d9cb0f7d807da1d8c2c5ca64d8ecbaec545387c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Timberwolves, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 86,217$20,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,072.14 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 9c | 54,946$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.62 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 34,383$26,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,105.99 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Cavaliers | 77c | 14,400$11,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 11,815$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 11,624$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 9,413$7,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 9,000$6,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 9c | 8,377$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.09 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 7,572$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.93 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 6c | 6,882$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 76c | 5,951$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.5 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 23c | 5,050$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Timberwolves | 25c | 5,000$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.59 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 4,601$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.24 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Cavaliers | 77c | 4,041$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.34 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,982$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.37 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cavaliers | 77c | 3,866$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.19 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 3,797$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.94 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Cavaliers | 76c | 3,567$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 3,465$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.6 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 24c | 3,043$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.33 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Timberwolves | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,986$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.83 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,500$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 2,464$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.19 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 2,457$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.73 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…ad9ebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…9e10backed Timberwolves | 4c | 2,274$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Timberwolves | 28c | 2,183$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 2,182$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 24c | 2,127$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.54 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,052$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 24c | 2,020$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.3 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 22c | 1,894$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.67 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,580$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 1,573$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,558$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.44 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,531$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Timberwolves | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,470$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 1,466$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 1,374$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…449fbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 1,354$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,339$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.19 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,287$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,158$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.76 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Timberwolves | 10c | 1,032$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 1,023$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,001$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…bfeebacked Timberwolves | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Timberwolves | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Cavaliers | 79c | 999.95$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Cavaliers | 78c | 987.46$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 22c | 895.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 891.57$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.21 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Timberwolves | 6c | 881.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Timberwolves | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 847$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Timberwolves | 6c | 837.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…e852backed Cavaliers | 74c | 776.32$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 72c | 760.48$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Timberwolves | 13c | 730$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Cavaliers | 76c | 728$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 702.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cavaliers | 76c | 690$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…045cbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 667.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Cavaliers | 79c | 642.98$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 641.37$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.34 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Timberwolves | 2c | 638.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Timberwolves | 25c | 617.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cavaliers | 76c | 602.63$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 74c | 600$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Cavaliers | 77c | 598.75$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 549.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Cavaliers | 78c | 537.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Cavaliers | 74c | 512.89$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…9c99backed Timberwolves | 25c | 492$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Cavaliers | 77c | 489.61$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Timberwolves | 25c | 472$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Timberwolves | 23c | 467.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Cavaliers | 80c | 443.75$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Timberwolves | 6c | 440.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Timberwolves | 23c | 434.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Timberwolves | 13c | 415$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Cavaliers | 76c | 409.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Cavaliers | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cavaliers | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.