NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8949b10c4f76c498091ba7878eed36036e619aaec88f325352133e56daf2199a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 38c | 30,290$11,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,641.28 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 48c | 22,087$10,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,603.87 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 56c | 19,597$10,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,913.18 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 67c | 15,570$10,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 41c | 9,535$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.65 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 35c | 9,520$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Raptors | 34c | 9,514$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.44 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…9804backed Hawks | 0c | 8,501$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Raptors | 59c | 6,760$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.14 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Hawks | 44c | 6,680$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.79 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hawks | 67c | 6,569$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.06 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…cbaabacked Hawks | 0c | 6,168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Raptors | 46c | 5,880$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.53 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…5be3backed Hawks | 0c | 4,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Hawks | 67c | 4,697$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.58 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 65c | 4,161$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.19 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Hawks | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Hawks | 67c | 3,992$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Raptors | 34c | 3,903$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.04 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 47c | 3,827$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 35c | 3,736$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.03 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…e23ebacked Hawks | 66c | 3,300$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Raptors | 78c | 3,132$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,061$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.65 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors | 34c | 3,059$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 63c | 3,031$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.43 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 2c | 2,931$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Hawks | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Hawks | 78c | 2,480$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.02 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Raptors | 53c | 2,129$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.15 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…57acbacked Raptors | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Hawks | 2c | 2,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Hawks | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hawks | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.72 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,992$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.55 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors | 57c | 1,926$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.16 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Hawks | 76c | 1,525$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.31 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Hawks | 66c | 1,502$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.44 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Hawks | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Raptors | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…e0f6backed Raptors | 62c | 1,427$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Raptors | 75c | 1,389$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.71 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 62c | 1,294$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.66 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Hawks | 40c | 1,100$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.4 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…1a8abacked Hawks | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 34c | 1,039$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.33 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 33c | 1,024$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Raptors | 35c | 1,003$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Raptors | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.25 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…f6d0backed Raptors | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…4c49backed Hawks | 67c | 925.38$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Raptors | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors | 12c | 823.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.38 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks | 69c | 805.31$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.26 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks | 64c | 799.99$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 33c | 769.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.65 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors | 57c | 764.43$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawks | 67c | 750$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks | 64c | 701.89$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.39 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 29c | 697.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.02 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Raptors | 51c | 682.32$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Raptors | 71c | 637.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Hawks | 65c | 617.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 66cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Hawks | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…09f3backed Raptors | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Hawks | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hawks | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Raptors | 70c | 596.07$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 35c | 569.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.13 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Hawks | 42c | 561.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.37 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Raptors | 64c | 559.73$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Raptors | 35c | 555$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…480ebacked Hawks | 36c | 549.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Hawks | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…cec1backed Hawks | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 66c | 495$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Raptors | 34c | 481.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…38eabacked Raptors | 34c | 426$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…a915backed Hawks | 47c | 411.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Hawks | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Hawks | 65c | 380$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Raptors | 60c | 361.69$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…dd4dbacked Hawks | 66c | 353.03$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Raptors | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…e375backed Raptors | 34c | 332.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Hawks | 41c | 330$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…35fbbacked Hawks | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Hawks | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Raptors | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Hawks | 49c | 314.9$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…1e04backed Raptors | 35c | 312.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.