TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee06…f8b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Us Politics at 49 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$202.22
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.5
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.4
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.5
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+68.3%+$68.33
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+71.4%+$142.72
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$121.75
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+32%+$502
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+63.9%+$92.9
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$51.86
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$83.9
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$52.8
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$73.64
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.3
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55.1
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST3336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$54.44
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+45.6%+$139.04
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.9
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+56.6%+$48.16
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$48.21
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.31
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+34%+$76.02
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+66.4%+$243.41
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$84.55
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.4
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$107.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40.4
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.