TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings43c3,972$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.7232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canucks42c3,055$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Canucks59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77092848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Wings77c1,375$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Canucks59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed Red Wings41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Canucks61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Wings40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Red Wings75c809.64$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks59c800.01$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.011,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks29c696.12$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.871,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Canucks54c599.68$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.833650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Canucks56c564.06$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8716554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canucks59c504.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Red Wings40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canucks59c462.48$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks59c426.57$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.891,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canucks59c403.95$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Canucks59c379.96$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1813756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Canucks57c344.04$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.995534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe917…5919backed Red Wings50c333.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Red Wings40c325.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.523141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings51c287.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked Red Wings76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Red Wings41c243.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4622246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5730…e57dbacked Red Wings41c240.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Wings49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0819438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Canucks60c202.91$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.753438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Red Wings41c200.66$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.345954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Canucks59c199.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Red Wings70c188.04$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canucks60c166.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e0…b444backed Canucks61c163.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4169…eab3backed Red Wings41c155.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.592556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Canucks60c149.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings34c149.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.553,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Red Wings70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.717054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb222…2241backed Red Wings41c138.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893c…9ed2backed Canucks61c135.44$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb24…df3fbacked Red Wings42c131.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…182bbacked Red Wings41c126.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Canucks54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.57550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…489bbacked Red Wings42c124.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Red Wings40c124.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.299554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc934…9883backed Red Wings41c123.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…38d0backed Red Wings71c123.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Red Wings41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.956041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2563…b813backed Red Wings42c119.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x623d…4b22backed Red Wings42c117.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…b88abacked Red Wings42c116.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb19…e5a0backed Red Wings41c116.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd1…639bbacked Red Wings41c114.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…ad6ebacked Red Wings40c112.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01f9…d2a7backed Red Wings41c110.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.331540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37dc…2c06backed Red Wings41c110.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc91…2083backed Red Wings42c107.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canucks52c107.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c94…1e9dbacked Canucks60c106.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15a…58fcbacked Canucks60c106.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.832236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…f89ebacked Red Wings71c105.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4e…510cbacked Canucks61c103.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Canucks61c102.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked Canucks61c102.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce8…83fabacked Canucks60c101.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Canucks61c101.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…b659backed Canucks61c100.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.831250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Canucks58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Canucks60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Canucks58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9927643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings39c99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x950d…d965backed Red Wings41c97.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.832152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…60b6backed Canucks61c96.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed Canucks60c95.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.041866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x113a…5696backed Canucks61c92.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b2…ea2fbacked Red Wings41c91.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf15…547abacked Red Wings41c91.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdf…b489backed Red Wings41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ea…459fbacked Canucks60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Red Wings41c89.79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cef…493cbacked Canucks60c89.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…0536backed Canucks60c89.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cb…11cdbacked Canucks60c89.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc35…4621backed Canucks60c88.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b1…05cebacked Canucks60c88.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b03…b2f0backed Canucks60c85.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7e…697fbacked Red Wings42c85.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x025d…371dbacked Canucks60c85.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x287b…647abacked Canucks60c84.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6c…cee2backed Canucks60c83.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04d8…b9e5backed Canucks60c82.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1060…a32dbacked Red Wings41c82.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Wings41c82.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.551,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…0a04backed Canucks60c82.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x936d…9544backed Canucks60c81.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.181050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb205…5fbbbacked Canucks60c81.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef79…251ebacked Canucks61c80.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bf…46d7backed Canucks60c79.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…de58backed Canucks60c75.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Red Wings67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.636471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.