TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01f9…d2a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.89
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.43
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.79
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.59
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.39
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$43.52
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$33.54
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$117.59
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.72
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$17.7
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$62.28
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28.84
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$86.19
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$66.19
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$80.21
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$207.85
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$51.17
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$59.83
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$101.74
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$33.07
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$122.07
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$79.19
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$73.03
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.95
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47.3
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.06
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$32.62
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$107.19
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+108.7%+$104.27
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$100.99
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+143.9%+$65.33
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60.29
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67.21
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$69.47
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39.59
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.46
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$27.33
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.36
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$37.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.08
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54.33
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$101.44
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$198.13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+112.5%+$22.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$56.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.