NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15da54952fbdc77efc128a436d23a0bacf4eefcba91f925f642c0dd37035e1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 777 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bucks | 5c | 39,045$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.25 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 11c | 38,565$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 26c | 14,079$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.05 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers | 77c | 8,581$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.21 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 7,524$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.11 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Bucks | 27c | 6,952$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.42 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 14c | 6,879$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cavaliers | 71c | 6,837$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Bucks | 31c | 4,793$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks | 2c | 4,367$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 4,324$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.29 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 4,192$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.54 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks | 0c | 4,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Bucks | 30c | 3,667$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.1 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers | 75c | 3,062$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.61 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Bucks | 1c | 2,909$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 2,800$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.09 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2fa9backed Bucks | 1c | 2,539$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 2,442$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Cavaliers | 76c | 2,179$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.35 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 73c | 2,050$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.86 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 25c | 2,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.34 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Bucks | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,753$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.1 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Bucks | 24c | 1,706$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.54 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bucks | 24c | 1,621$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…8b82backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Bucks | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Bucks | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,500$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 11c | 1,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Bucks | 1c | 1,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 14c | 1,431$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 27c | 1,387$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,322$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bucks | 12c | 1,317$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bucks | 8c | 1,300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,300$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,250$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,228$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.03 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Bucks | 30c | 1,165$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.54 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,075$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Bucks | 8c | 1,029$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Bucks | 25c | 1,013$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 18c | 1,005$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,000$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Bucks | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bucks | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Cavaliers | 72c | 967.8$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bucks | 9c | 963.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 950$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 903$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Bucks | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks | 28c | 882.37$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Bucks | 29c | 866.66$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cavaliers | 75c | 819.83$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.81 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…593bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 814.11$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 21c | 699.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Cavaliers | 72c | 695.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 71c | 692.99$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 30c | 670.7$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Bucks | 25c | 670$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 19c | 654.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Cavaliers | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 71c | 641.38$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bucks | 28c | 624.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Bucks | 24c | 618.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks | 20c | 572.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 23c | 569.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Bucks | 30c | 565.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…80c9backed Bucks | 18c | 542.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Bucks | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Bucks | 25c | 511.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Cavaliers | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 25c | 492.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Cavaliers | 74c | 450.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Cavaliers | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Cavaliers | 76c | 417.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Bucks | 29c | 391.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 26c | 386.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Bucks | 26c | 383.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Bucks | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…783fbacked Bucks | 24c | 363.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Cavaliers | 72c | 361.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 355.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…a367backed Cavaliers | 75c | 352.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 345.5$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…252cbacked Bucks | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 333.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Bucks | 25c | 333.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.