TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Canadiens, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x242e…ee63backed Canadiens47c13,052$6,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,134.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Red Wings54c12,446$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,763.695450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens3c7,250$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.491,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings52c5,636$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.4835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Canadiens9c5,020$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.614949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Canadiens20c4,365$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.733650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens40c3,598$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.0770249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Canadiens48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44023642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens47c2,975$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.2585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens3c2,700$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings52c2,639$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.161,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Canadiens14c2,237$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.213839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3db7…9a68backed Red Wings53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b01…10a3backed Canadiens47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings80c1,129$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.031,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x943f…03ebbacked Canadiens47c929$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdb…e57fbacked Red Wings53c889.49$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings53c838.96$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings52c784.24$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Red Wings55c500$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Red Wings53c471.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Canadiens10c469$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens4c424.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c3…89e8backed Canadiens48c390.65$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens16c372.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3912744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241e…dd4dbacked Red Wings55c364.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…900bbacked Red Wings53c358.52$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0546…2496backed Canadiens47c319.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Canadiens47c305.42$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14519438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings54c260.56$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings53c259.18$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings80c243.05$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens9c227$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.027450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b9…bc50backed Red Wings53c218.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b6…a978backed Canadiens48c218.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf9…6bdcbacked Canadiens48c216.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec3…23cdbacked Red Wings54c216.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630e…4ea2backed Red Wings54c210.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa423…bd36backed Canadiens48c210.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Canadiens42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6e…f1d6backed Red Wings53c199.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Wings53c196.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.516642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings53c159.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Red Wings54c128.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Canadiens47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Canadiens48c125.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0b…2773backed Canadiens48c121.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8f…972abacked Canadiens47c113.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f9…db5ebacked Red Wings53c112.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8e…859ebacked Red Wings54c106.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc7b…447dbacked Canadiens47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Canadiens47c105.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings52c103.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5141851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0227…750bbacked Canadiens48c100.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.461225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ab1…5aa5backed Red Wings54c100.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb069…11d1backed Canadiens47c100.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7737…e497backed Red Wings54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Canadiens20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7034…8d31backed Canadiens48c99.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-70.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26db…cdf6backed Canadiens47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.591040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dfd…a10abacked Red Wings55c98.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Canadiens46c97.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0847249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked Canadiens47c97.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839a…434abacked Red Wings53c95.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542d…706abacked Canadiens47c94.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43e…d04ebacked Red Wings54c94.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed Canadiens48c93.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings53c92.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2202…b157backed Red Wings55c90.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7570…58b2backed Canadiens46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb1…2573backed Red Wings53c89.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed Red Wings54c89.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.061947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Red Wings53c88.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.771866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9489…0c10backed Red Wings53c87.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Red Wings55c87.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.171560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked Canadiens47c86.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked Canadiens48c85.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.181866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1790…8674backed Canadiens47c85.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Red Wings53c84.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5e0…292fbacked Red Wings53c84.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…35bfbacked Canadiens47c83.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Red Wings54c83.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.272755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…4e59backed Canadiens48c81.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ab…ec05backed Red Wings54c80.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb60c…e89fbacked Canadiens46c80.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…3b09backed Canadiens48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.480%0 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Canadiens47c79.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.492352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…3ef3backed Canadiens48c79.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…e263backed Red Wings54c78.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.242166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Red Wings54c75.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.882263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Canadiens47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Canadiens48c74.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.622556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f9…d2a7backed Red Wings54c74.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Canadiens47c63.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.881844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Red Wings71c59.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.263781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a61…0599backed Canadiens29c55.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.