TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35c5…e14b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT12744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.7
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
NHL Playoffs: Sabres vs. Canadiens Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$85.67
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.26
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.16
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$78
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.44
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.26
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.32
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.94
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$30.87
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+84%+$13.7
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+146.4%+$28.52
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+178.6%+$38.46
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+126.8%+$61.5
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+134.9%+$16.18
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$17.05
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$34.4
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$73.4
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$33.2
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.92
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+141.3%+$158.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$130.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump claims largest inauguration crowd ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.