NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e0c321c88a0741b32b9d8c654eb0c61fd7f4d6397b90a0fd27173c0464b7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $687,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Rockets | 8c | 69,960$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.83 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockets | 40c | 50,731$20,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,273.27 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 60c | 22,234$13,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,843.71 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Kings | 61c | 21,047$12,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.34 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Rockets | 26c | 20,175$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Kings | 62c | 19,166$11,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,283.34 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Kings | 62c | 18,780$11,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.34 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Kings | 63c | 16,998$10,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,289.09 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 60c | 15,114$9,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.46 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets | 38c | 14,298$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.76 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 43c | 11,686$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.11 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 61c | 11,538$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.22 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Rockets | 33c | 11,500$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 9c | 10,842$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Kings | 60c | 10,253$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Kings | 72c | 8,420$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.53 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 14c | 6,332$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.62 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 61c | 6,319$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.46 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…a56ebacked Rockets | 40c | 6,316$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 37c | 6,216$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 57c | 5,712$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.16 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Rockets | 4c | 5,345$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.18 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockets | 41c | 4,661$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.41 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Rockets | 26c | 4,563$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.09 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Rockets | 20c | 4,406$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.33 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Kings | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Rockets | 20c | 4,000$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Rockets | 18c | 3,938$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…1ae1backed Rockets | 39c | 3,748$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Kings | 73c | 3,686$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.09 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 38c | 3,626$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.59 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 31c | 3,504$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.09 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…9bc7backed Rockets | 38c | 3,500$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Rockets | 41c | 3,483$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 60c | 2,997$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 12c | 2,600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.67 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 40c | 2,572$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.95 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Kings | 60c | 2,502$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 39c | 2,416$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.79 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…0ce1backed Rockets | 30c | 2,300$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 23c | 2,300$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked Rockets | 35c | 2,263$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.98 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Kings | 70c | 2,126$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.6 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Rockets | 17c | 2,100$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Rockets | 49c | 2,055$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rockets | 22c | 2,048$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.2 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 66c | 2,034$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.87 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 60c | 2,020$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.9 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Kings | 59c | 1,986$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.76 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x618e…1fbcbacked Kings | 62c | 1,973$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets | 32c | 1,894$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.77 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…3694backed Rockets | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 60c | 1,748$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.13 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Rockets | 40c | 1,723$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.19 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…6ed2backed Rockets | 27c | 1,707$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Rockets | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Rockets | 39c | 1,600$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Rockets | 39c | 1,597$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Rockets | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…7a53backed Kings | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Kings | 62c | 1,459$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.33 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 23c | 1,445$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Rockets | 41c | 1,440$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.47 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 38c | 1,350$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.25 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Rockets | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Kings | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Rockets | 17c | 1,203$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Kings | 63c | 1,159$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.89 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Rockets | 29c | 1,152$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Rockets | 39c | 1,151$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.4 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets | 39c | 1,120$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.95 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 59c | 1,088$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.96 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 2c | 1,075$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Rockets | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Rockets | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Rockets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Rockets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets | 40c | 999.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…b3ffbacked Rockets | 37c | 956.1$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Kings | 63c | 951.13$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 26c | 946.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Rockets | 39c | 866.92$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 60c | 863.85$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.25 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Rockets | 28c | 846.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Kings | 62c | 841$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Kings | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 2c | 752$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Rockets | 19c | 750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Kings | 62c | 739$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings | 60c | 695.02$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.65 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Kings | 68c | 693.27$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Rockets | 39c | 683.87$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 37c | 675.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings | 64c | 664.33$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Rockets | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Rockets | 30c | 607.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Rockets | 29c | 600.9$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.