NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ae802260e5e8e013c27662f7c79488fcf769f9ed3618d9b91bb72cba74b358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Mavericks | 61c | 18,826$11,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396.16 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 18,288$9,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,142.25 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Nuggets | 46c | 13,090$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,110.6 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Nuggets | 51c | 12,986$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,394.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Mavericks | 32c | 11,406$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Mavericks | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.88 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 37c | 9,840$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.74 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Mavericks | 65c | 8,183$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Nuggets | 65c | 6,386$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.15 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 24c | 6,361$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.15 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Mavericks | 63c | 6,060$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.71 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 54c | 5,962$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.86 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 63c | 5,665$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 40c | 5,574$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.71 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed Nuggets | 68c | 5,108$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Mavericks | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 69c | 4,322$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.91 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 4,238$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.65 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Mavericks | 36c | 4,194$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Nuggets | 67c | 4,179$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.1 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 4,105$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.73 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Nuggets | 61c | 4,078$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…f76ebacked Mavericks | 39c | 4,078$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,832$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.91 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 62c | 3,786$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.17 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 66c | 3,300$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.19 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks | 32c | 3,000$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Mavericks | 15c | 2,899$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.08 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Mavericks | 63c | 2,543$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.04 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 75c | 2,378$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.64 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,371$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.29 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Mavericks | 36c | 2,218$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,080$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.29 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Nuggets | 24c | 2,046$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.9 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 40c | 2,038$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.52 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Nuggets | 64c | 2,035$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…fab0backed Mavericks | 64c | 2,009$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Nuggets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mavericks | 31c | 1,939$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.11 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nuggets | 67c | 1,922$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.11 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Mavericks | 60c | 1,856$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,646$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.13 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,635$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.07 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,517$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks | 36c | 1,478$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,366$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.69 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Mavericks | 64c | 1,295$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.7 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…32bbbacked Nuggets | 60c | 1,256$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,242$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.56 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Mavericks | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,148$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.58 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,109$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,100$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 64c | 1,075$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.06 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,055$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.54 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,000$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 47c | 999.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets | 51c | 987.45$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.84 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Nuggets | 52c | 964.43$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.43 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nuggets | 54c | 931.31$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.62 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 920.38$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 67c | 877.04$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Mavericks | 32c | 843.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Nuggets | 39c | 835.83$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.86 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nuggets | 56c | 816.47$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Mavericks | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Nuggets | 68c | 777$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 33c | 768.85$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Nuggets | 58c | 750.53$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.57 | 145 | 62.8%91 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…78e9backed Mavericks | 36c | 724.68$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…0e1abacked Nuggets | 65c | 724.68$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nuggets | 28c | 723.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.97 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Mavericks | 2c | 700.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 70c | 695.51$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Nuggets | 63c | 691.76$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed Mavericks | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nuggets | 48c | 642.89$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Mavericks | 50c | 634.03$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Nuggets | 37c | 631.81$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 8c | 621$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 64c | 599.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 599$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…839bbacked Mavericks | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Nuggets | 53c | 574.28$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 557.71$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Mavericks | 35c | 532.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…9bb9backed Nuggets | 47c | 510$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 499.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Mavericks | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 499.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Nuggets | 67c | 471.6$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Mavericks | 62c | 470$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.