NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc87774742995f15dcc5c7b6265fd5908c59a6e168af5a41703e8e4762bef5d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $927,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $995,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Sabres | 15c | 200,976$29,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,328.36 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 54c | 116,774$63,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,058.09 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Canadiens | 45c | 50,350$22,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,488.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 74c | 22,673$16,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.96 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 55c | 20,033$11,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,060.51 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sabres | 21c | 18,975$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Sabres | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Canadiens | 76c | 15,229$11,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.14 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 24c | 12,535$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.47 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 18c | 12,082$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.63 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Sabres | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres | 0c | 8,966$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 8,028$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 45c | 7,356$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.79 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens | 76c | 6,568$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.35 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Canadiens | 46c | 6,418$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 45c | 6,093$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.24 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Sabres | 11c | 5,622$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.24 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Canadiens | 46c | 5,217$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Sabres | 54c | 4,581$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.62 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 50c | 4,371$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.51 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 71c | 3,872$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 55c | 3,644$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Sabres | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Sabres | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 55c | 2,813$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.13 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 67c | 2,602$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.66 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 46c | 2,522$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.92 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…20cfbacked Canadiens | 46c | 2,348$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,342$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.54 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,324$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.37 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…e0c0backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Canadiens | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Sabres | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Sabres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Canadiens | 78c | 1,731$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Canadiens | 76c | 1,703$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,593$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Sabres | 15c | 1,457$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Sabres | 9c | 1,422$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Sabres | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Sabres | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,152$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.17 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Canadiens | 80c | 1,139$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Canadiens | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 54c | 1,010$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.87 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sabres | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sabres | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens | 45c | 999.94$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…dad8backed Sabres | 26c | 999.72$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Canadiens | 46c | 956.52$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.52 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Sabres | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Sabres | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sabres | 38c | 898.27$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 55c | 893.4$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.37 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4b38backed Canadiens | 46c | 847.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Sabres | 10c | 831.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5d7abacked Sabres | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Sabres | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…4566backed Canadiens | 46c | 787.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Sabres | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 45c | 765.22$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Canadiens | 46c | 765.02$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.11 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Sabres | 55c | 699$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Sabres | 37c | 677$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sabres | 21c | 673$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Sabres | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Canadiens | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Canadiens | 69c | 649$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Sabres | 55c | 613.37$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Sabres | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…3c8ebacked Sabres | 19c | 588.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Canadiens | 44c | 586.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…327ebacked Canadiens | 76c | 585.32$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Sabres | 31c | 580$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Sabres | 55c | 575.51$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.53 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…2317backed Canadiens | 46c | 567.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Sabres | 12c | 562.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Sabres | 18c | 549.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…63f5backed Canadiens | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Canadiens | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f80…fa5cbacked Sabres | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sabres | 12c | 498$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Canadiens | 78c | 489.56$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Sabres | 55c | 476.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Sabres | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Canadiens | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Canadiens | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Sabres | 19c | 432.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sabres | 55c | 419.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…fdb1backed Sabres | 21c | 416.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…4cb8backed Canadiens | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Sabres | 23c | 409.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…e923backed Sabres | 12c | 403.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabresthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.