TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c55…97d4backed Over55c14,563$8,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,555.385662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under45c10,133$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56010545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c8,983$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,652.222,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under45c4,879$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.597258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c4,329$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.5689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over71c3,833$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c3,000$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.881,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Under42c2,121$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.275147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Over4c2,064$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.561020%2 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+309.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c1,481$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over54c1,393$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.596953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over40c1,294$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.626527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Over54c1,225$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.698845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c958.64$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under46c827.83$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.86456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeca…fdb1backed Over55c702.78$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3152065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under34c601.9$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over39c583.5$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under29c560.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7411547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5a…e0c0backed Over54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over58c491.4$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.041,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over5c475$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c422.72$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6517248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under46c419.41$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under40c416.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.452536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over39c377$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9722250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Over4c375$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Over4c375$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over4c375$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over55c363.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.811245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13824350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under22c265.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.891,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under47c258.19$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.351741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under32c243.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9233363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under45c242.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3133837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.631,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over55c229.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.098336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over78c226.2$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.768469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1811154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over50c217.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.515653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under46c209.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5924442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over74c199.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6821355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over55c190.47$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.012853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c173.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c173.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c164.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3714254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over54c155.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over53c148.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.541050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c147.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c133.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.931848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over55c113.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.224477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over77c113$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.827659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over47c108.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4224946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…ecc5backed Over55c105.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over55c103.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.014168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over43c103.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…40fcbacked Under20c100.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over69c97.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5923148.9%113 W · 118 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under46c92.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.556154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8222543.1%97 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over54c76.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.722867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedd7…7336backed Under41c74.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.491127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over42c69.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0616443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffa8…6f67backed Under30c66.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6443256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under47c62.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.291625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under46c61.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4145651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over76c60.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.327265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c50.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3834653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.523754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.845069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under38c49.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.051850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.319153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa95…d397backed Over58c45.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c44.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6433745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over78c43.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.686055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over55c36.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.563158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over64c32.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.622458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over40c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3134547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over54c31.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.