NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69bf6c1bdf849d8a36bc6194b10ea4fe54abb6f2cd7559fddb5d699cfd5b60c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 19c | 3,100$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.92 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 52c | 2,925$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 2,704$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 68c | 1,843$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.7 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 1,306$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.21 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 1,240$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 60c | 1,170$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.09 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 61c | 1,106$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.86 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 1,084$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 45c | 1,039$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 1,023$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 56c | 845.22$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.58 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 49c | 763.12$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.65 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 26c | 747.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 59c | 698.87$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.74 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 65c | 576.9$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 48c | 402.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 35c | 355.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Over | 42c | 354.56$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 56c | 346.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 336.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 58c | 329.74$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 37c | 329.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 37c | 317.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 25c | 289.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 44c | 284.85$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 282$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 69c | 237.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 237.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 50c | 235.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 61c | 204.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 35c | 200.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 60c | 181.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 66c | 178.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 175.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 166.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 165.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 54c | 148.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 141.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 35c | 140.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 35c | 129.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 125.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 57c | 120.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 65c | 120.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 54c | 114.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Under | 59c | 103.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 100.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 43c | 99.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 92.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 59c | 83.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Under | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 64c | 67.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 63c | 65.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 50c | 65.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 65.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 45c | 62.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 41c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 42c | 56.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 55c | 53.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 48c | 49.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 58c | 48.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 41c | 48.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 55c | 48.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 47.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 56c | 46.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 54c | 37.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 68c | 34.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 39c | 28.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…93c0backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 54c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 41c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Under | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 49c | 22.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Under | 63c | 22.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf036…59c1backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f969backed Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…f529backed Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…7740backed Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…5917backed Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.