TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over19c3,100$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9211949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under52c2,925$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c2,704$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.092,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under68c1,843$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c1,306$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.2189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over53c1,240$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.863,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over60c1,170$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.098345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over61c1,106$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.8638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c1,084$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.741,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under45c1,039$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.343844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over41c1,023$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.2511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.955844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under56c845.22$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5812859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under49c763.12$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.6539344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over26c747.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over59c698.87$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7412357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over65c576.9$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.297236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over48c402.33$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.635653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over35c355.93$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.629157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over42c354.56$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.422147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over56c346.17$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.468469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under55c336.89$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over58c329.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6128652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under37c329.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0111547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under37c317.71$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.171,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over25c289.58$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.899321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over44c284.85$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.761,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c282$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9825449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under69c237.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c237.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0917248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under50c235.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5733363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.361959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over61c204.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.694252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under35c200.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over60c181.2$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.724151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under66c178.65$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6424946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over55c175.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.034351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under48c166.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over53c165.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1327659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under54c148.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.694168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c141.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1814254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over35c140.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.622454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under35c129.72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under52c125.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0939751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over57c120.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under65c120.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1113442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under54c114.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.12853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over65c107.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Under59c103.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c100.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.671,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.452,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under43c99.46$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.892867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c92.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6614045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over59c83.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1216443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551a…b3dcbacked Under44c68.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.413745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.810256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under64c67.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.345147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over63c65.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3510166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c65.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.047265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over45c65.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7114855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under45c62.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0919153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under37c59.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.548757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over41c59.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over42c56.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under55c53.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.163770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under48c49.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7551343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under58c48.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.586456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over41c48.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over55c48.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.551833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c47.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under56c46.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under54c37.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.033253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over68c34.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.772560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62564%16 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under39c28.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.471850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb94…93c0backed Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over54c26.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.343655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over41c25.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.356656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1f4…4763backed Under59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.734261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under49c22.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6610260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Under63c22.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c21.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6149851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf036…59c1backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ca…f969backed Under58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf9…f529backed Under58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef07…7740backed Under58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c40…5917backed Under58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Under59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.