NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe170300c1735d3fec8784154cdfc92d17cdf73fc276998966873bea0481c127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Thunder, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Thunder | 42c | 11,977$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.49 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 31c | 11,936$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…e0e6backed Mavericks | 74c | 11,671$8,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 42c | 11,201$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.36 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Mavericks | 29c | 10,266$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,289.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 75c | 9,675$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.86 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 41c | 9,451$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.54 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Mavericks | 77c | 9,067$6,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.66 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks | 29c | 8,434$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.29 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.87 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 7,619$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.88 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 26c | 7,509$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.95 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 59c | 7,257$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.71 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Mavericks | 25c | 7,200$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Thunder | 49c | 7,176$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.3 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Thunder | 75c | 7,167$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,963$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.35 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 28c | 6,604$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.36 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Thunder | 24c | 5,652$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.12 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Thunder | 73c | 5,627$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.89 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Thunder | 46c | 5,549$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.14 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Mavericks | 60c | 5,384$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.11 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 74c | 4,999$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.62 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Thunder | 74c | 4,619$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.07 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Mavericks | 72c | 4,581$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.77 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 29c | 3,500$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Thunder | 77c | 3,391$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.74 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 71c | 2,950$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.23 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…27a9backed Thunder | 74c | 2,772$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 2,758$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.39 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618e…1fbcbacked Thunder | 76c | 2,730$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 26c | 2,530$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Thunder | 73c | 2,471$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Thunder | 54c | 2,440$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.29 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Thunder | 50c | 2,377$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.37 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 23c | 2,328$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.15 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Mavericks | 70c | 2,250$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.01 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 28c | 2,200$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Thunder | 61c | 2,128$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 10c | 2,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Mavericks | 28c | 2,001$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.71 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Thunder | 53c | 1,879$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.65 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder | 68c | 1,862$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.44 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Mavericks | 26c | 1,799$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.74 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Mavericks | 64c | 1,615$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,605$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.53 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Mavericks | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.16 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,501$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,485$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…6c66backed Thunder | 52c | 1,387$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,368$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 1,331$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.96 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Thunder | 36c | 1,267$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.9 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…9bc7backed Thunder | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…2e66backed Thunder | 61c | 1,190$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,175$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.2 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Thunder | 6c | 1,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,073$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.94 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Thunder | 74c | 1,052$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.39 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,027$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.29 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Thunder | 42c | 1,015$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 33c | 1,007$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Thunder | 20c | 1,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Thunder | 70c | 1,000$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Thunder | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…d771backed Mavericks | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 74c | 999.92$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.94 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 4c | 977$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Thunder | 62c | 957.38$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Mavericks | 26c | 957$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Thunder | 45c | 935.57$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.16 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Thunder | 17c | 933.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Thunder | 54c | 919.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Thunder | 42c | 917.04$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Thunder | 75c | 915.81$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 74c | 915.36$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 73c | 852.79$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Thunder | 76c | 835.93$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.11 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Thunder | 66c | 791.67$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.25 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Thunder | 38c | 784.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Thunder | 74c | 758.8$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks | 68c | 749.55$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 70c | 747.98$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Mavericks | 26c | 708.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Thunder | 41c | 695.9$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Mavericks | 64c | 694.27$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Thunder | 56c | 685.82$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.1 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Thunder | 52c | 665.32$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…46eabacked Thunder | 74c | 648.65$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Thunder | 58c | 613.81$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Mavericks | 51c | 610.93$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…94acbacked Mavericks | 26c | 606.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 37c | 604.82$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Thunder | 36c | 602.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Thunder | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Thunder | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.