TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc23…8bc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$50.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+273.1%+$183
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$69.75
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$33.25
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.54
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$24.31
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.64
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$51.19
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.78
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$113.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$49.78
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$10.96
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.04
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$23.58
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+102%+$50.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.5
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57.07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$119
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46%+$63
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$112.4
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+189.1%+$32.7
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.15
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+32.5%+$12.25
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+50.4%+$16.75
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73%+$25.76
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$47.5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110.82
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick23cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$84
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.31
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$41.36
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.12
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66.66
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.4B and $1.6B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+64.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$252.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$769.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,604Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+92.3%+$3,326.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,375.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.