Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85d3e4d608f1a569718558e25b73a43ce08fc51495aa7b3cb8c016db2fd6b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81a…845ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,323$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 5c | 2,214$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes | 11c | 926.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…810ebacked Yes | 3c | 731.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…495abacked Yes | 14c | 694.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a3…a2ebbacked Yes | 2c | 674.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 53c | 662.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked Yes | 4c | 535.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…013dbacked Yes | 7c | 525.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 57c | 501.81$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…c276backed Yes | 4c | 494.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…e696backed Yes | 6c | 423.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 7c | 285.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…37e2backed Yes | 26c | 278.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…5994backed Yes | 4c | 261.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 261$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…1e44backed Yes | 4c | 246.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…7935backed Yes | 7c | 237.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…06d4backed Yes | 7c | 213.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…8db9backed Yes | 50c | 203.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…ad1fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 30c | 199.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 47c | 128.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…33e0backed Yes | 16c | 125.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 119.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…c88ebacked Yes | 47c | 111.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…afc6backed Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…0cd8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 21c | 93.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b75…d0edbacked Yes | 14c | 92.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…6460backed Yes | 43c | 90.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…c5c8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…c957backed Yes | 28c | 88.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41a…29dcbacked Yes | 46c | 87.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…06c0backed Yes | 13c | 84.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 30c | 82.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 32c | 78.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 75.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2351…41c1backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…0af2backed No | 77c | 68.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…45bfbacked Yes | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 31c | 61.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 59.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…ddc8backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…60aebacked Yes | 39c | 56.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 54.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…6132backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…1952backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…9ddfbacked Yes | 28c | 45.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…a605backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…b451backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…c333backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…b13cbacked Yes | 34c | 32.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…9b6cbacked Yes | 50c | 29.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 25.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?Yes won
- Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.