Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4e6967424e299d0c4e83b99a2f2f69262ef8c6f09bd4519dfcf26fe231f295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf074…7625backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 5,320$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…6ffabacked No | 23c | 4,745$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 6c | 2,070$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8a…5af6backed Yes | 13c | 1,904$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…1f4bbacked No | 5c | 1,796$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…4e40backed No | 3c | 1,470$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 12c | 1,330$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 9c | 1,288$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 77c | 1,237$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 23c | 1,207$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 9c | 1,201$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 14c | 1,178$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 44c | 1,122$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.21 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5591…1e93backed No | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 79c | 952.5$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…fabdbacked No | 79c | 927.18$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…89c8backed No | 16c | 912.49$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…8a77backed No | 9c | 857.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 10c | 855$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked No | 13c | 850.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 797.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 8c | 775.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 773.51$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 16c | 718.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…d5cebacked No | 7c | 666.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed No | 24c | 655.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 60c | 655.42$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…f352backed Yes | 80c | 625$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 32c | 589.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 17c | 569.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…aa6ebacked No | 23c | 560.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 4c | 532.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 57c | 510.35$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 485.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…fcb4backed Yes | 6c | 471.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,473.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 12c | 450$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked No | 12c | 437.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 79c | 400.1$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…f638backed No | 3c | 394.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed No | 8c | 366.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 6c | 337.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe58c…216bbacked No | 17c | 301.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…9fcfbacked No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 8c | 291.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 24c | 279.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 18c | 273.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 69c | 269.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…04eebacked No | 14c | 268.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…7ac7backed No | 18c | 259.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Yes | 74c | 249.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…58bcbacked No | 9c | 231.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…495abacked No | 30c | 230.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 23c | 230$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…16c5backed No | 30c | 222.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 41c | 214.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…ab8abacked Yes | 76c | 206.53$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…adc5backed Yes | 24c | 206.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 10c | 205.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…248dbacked Yes | 25c | 200.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed No | 5c | 199.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…9712backed No | 14c | 198.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 8c | 190.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed No | 16c | 190.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…9506backed No | 11c | 190.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 69c | 189.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…ac28backed Yes | 77c | 189.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 19c | 180.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…c957backed Yes | 65c | 180.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…5fcabacked No | 15c | 170.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…13d5backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…0cd8backed No | 61c | 162.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…abf4backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0219…6833backed No | 10c | 159.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed No | 9c | 158.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…b503backed Yes | 36c | 152.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…b983backed No | 10c | 150.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…b9e2backed No | 16c | 147.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…fe7dbacked Yes | 77c | 145.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 14c | 144.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…bfbbbacked No | 35c | 143.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…760bbacked No | 15c | 142.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c27bbacked Yes | 7c | 138.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,287.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 39c | 127.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1667…9130backed Yes | 62c | 124.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…e842backed No | 16c | 108.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 108.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…bc90backed No | 17c | 104.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…95fdbacked Yes | 61c | 102.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…8e2bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…ff6abacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…2308backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…7922backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?this page
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.