Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab36af3431f2fbda2c7c249d684026fbdc840cc472c0cc9b1669e1ef4ef8416a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a64…440abacked Yes | 1c | 19,536$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…d396backed Yes | 1c | 13,314$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 0c | 8,330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 7,926$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 2c | 6,752$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,614$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,270$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 2,018$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…17a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,934$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,244$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,033$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 6c | 858.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 845.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…4e57backed Yes | 5c | 810$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 11c | 785.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…b503backed Yes | 12c | 714.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8a…5af6backed Yes | 7c | 562.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 8c | 542.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 5c | 517.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…83fdbacked Yes | 6c | 474.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…766abacked Yes | 5c | 448.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 12c | 426.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 24c | 399.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87f…a5e1backed Yes | 12c | 388.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 5c | 378.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 29c | 375$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked Yes | 5c | 272.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…8db9backed Yes | 5c | 239.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…ffc0backed Yes | 8c | 237.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked Yes | 9c | 232.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…21ddbacked Yes | 35c | 224.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 33c | 212.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 208.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Yes | 8c | 204.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 8c | 196.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 13c | 176.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 33c | 157.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…ac18backed Yes | 35c | 155.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 32c | 154.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…248dbacked Yes | 34c | 148.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…37fcbacked Yes | 14c | 146.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 66c | 127.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed Yes | 8c | 125.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 76c | 120.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…bb17backed Yes | 31c | 92.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…c132backed Yes | 17c | 83.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…126bbacked Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…6ae6backed Yes | 35c | 56.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…01c1backed No | 76c | 46.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked No | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?this page
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.