TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x430e…ed6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
846
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Stocks at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20973.2%153 W · 56 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$376.79
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+27.7%+$167.1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$55.99
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.9%+$139.79
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.8%+$60.15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.98
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$184.63
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$197.99
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$222.29
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33%+$34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.1%+$168.29
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$573
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+34.6%+$211.65
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$27.37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.4%+$191.46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84.41
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$120.35
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$173.99
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.7%+$41.28
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT19957.3%114 W · 85 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$6.79
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+55.2%+$268.69
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.1%+$102.39
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$830.81
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+34.6%+$33.96
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$4.2
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+56.9%+$682.9
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180.19
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Will Partido Popular win 31-33 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Partido Popular win 28-30 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+123.9%+$24.91
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+89.8%+$1,895.86
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+76.9%+$282.69
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42.18
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.8%+$85.46
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.2%+$41.25
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.3
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$786.02
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,062.34
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29%+$309.21
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$64.8
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+60.5%+$24.5
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.1%+$163.05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$52.03
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38.38
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.94
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27%+$28.53
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.62
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.59
Will RFK end Measles Mumps and Rubella vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.1%+$64.85
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.46
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+166.2%+$409.54
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Will between 217 and 218 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$7.87
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+182.7%+$374.82
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.79
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$209
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+164.3%+$550.79
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+397.6%+$167.8
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST4143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.46
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$140
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.06
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$98.3
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+71.4%+$69.95
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$41.31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+160.1%+$143.71
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Netanyahu's UN speech be be between 30-35 minutes long?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.35
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$27.37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.03
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.54
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,670.4
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$16.6
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will Syria hold national elections before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.17
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST3834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$28.5
Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Will iHeartMedia (IHRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+270.4%+$37.23
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Churchill Downs (CHDN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$436.49
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+227.8%+$1,304.34
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$11.2
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.59
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.11
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$8.39
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.34
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$46.4
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$11.25
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.79
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$60.33
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.09
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.1%+$25.87
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.98
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$39.68
Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.23
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+29.3%+$83.26
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$119.39
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$661.95
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+226.8%+$2,469.62
Will 'Nosferatu' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$230.9
Will 'The Brutalist' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will 'All We Imagine as Light' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$26.1
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.32
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.36
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,447.34
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.11
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$39.18
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+376.2%+$158
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.46
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$55.88
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$66.66
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.8%+$48.5
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+65.7%+$118.99
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$401.4
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.44
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 15–20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$282.73
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.77
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.19
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.62
Will Adelita Grijalva win the Democratic Primary for the Arizona's 7th congressional district special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.73
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+28.8%+$59.68
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$77.49
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+30.5%+$76.33
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+37.7%+$19.8
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$38.4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22.44
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.16
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+103.1%+$87.83
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.58
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+500.4%+$379.71
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$82.6
Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$11.6
Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.19
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$46.2
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116.01
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.9%+$27.77
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$182.98
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Pointsbacked Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$42.94
Big Game - Winning Conference backed NFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37.7%+$247.84
Will NE/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58.99
Will DEN/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.86
Will 120-125 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+45.9%+$40.9
Will 115-120 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+30.6%+$24.07
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$189.14
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.14
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+33.6%+$174.64
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+47.5%+$127.68
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$223.62
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+39.4%+$267.74
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+463.1%+$100.8
Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.22
Will Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.22
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.38
Will Patrick Mahomes record the most passing yards on Championship Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.19
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$12.53
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.91
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$29.3
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$64.8
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+225%+$279.65
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.3%+$59.36
Will DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.9%+$9.42
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.2%+$145.84
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+300%+$82.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$94.72
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$105.35
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.34
Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+62.6%+$77.35
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+34.6%+$108.73
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+32.4%+$76.29
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+118%+$49.25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+102.5%+$241.74
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$36.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$55.59
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.4%+$203.16
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.5
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.1
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$117.94
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.72
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$117.57
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+52.6%+$42.81
2025 August third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$59.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will there be 2-4 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.05
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$41.57
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
Will LA wildfires burn 30-40k acres by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$25.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$126.37
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51.21
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.87
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.18
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$61.57
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$117.39
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$227.62
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$264.78
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 13 million and 15 million viewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22.22
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 11 million and 13 million viewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8.25
Will Jacob Wilson win the American League Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+166.9%+$94.5
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$18.6
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.2
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$82
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$14
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+101.7%+$125.38
Will the Boston Red Sox win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+64%+$10.14
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+33.9%+$62.22
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+75.5%+$325.23
Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.03
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+86%+$39.31
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+25%+$6.2
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" by Shaboozey win Best Country Song?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+71.9%+$29.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$43.05
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.17
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.67
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,769.95
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$212.32
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$394.37
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+158.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$747.02
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$255.84
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.