Music · resolved market
Will "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" by Shaboozey win Best Country Song?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d749343ea29ccb569b693b1f481d1bf1cb0259343ff6bab1c92aebe4e24288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 54c | 1,393$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…c8d4backed No | 28c | 800.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Yes | 72c | 800.57$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 749$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 33c | 558.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 29c | 537.17$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 51c | 507.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 38c | 455$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 30c | 430.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 77c | 388.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 78c | 382.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 71c | 352$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 53c | 302.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 28c | 275.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…4068backed Yes | 73c | 257.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 61c | 247.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 65c | 220$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 60c | 211$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 67c | 163$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 46c | 120.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…2d90backed No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4576…748bbacked Yes | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…596cbacked Yes | 76c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…b03cbacked No | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…51fabacked No | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…5409backed Yes | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 74c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 43c | 44.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…5613backed Yes | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…9b6bbacked Yes | 75c | 37.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…c1febacked Yes | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…1bafbacked Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…ccb3backed Yes | 75c | 19.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…ede5backed Yes | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…cf87backed Yes | 78c | 17.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5105…125abacked Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" by Shaboozey win Best Country Song?this page
- Will "I Had Some Help" by Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen win Best Country Song?No won
- Will "Texas Hold 'Em" by Beyoncé win Best Country Song?No won
- Will "The Architect" by Kacey Musgraves win Best Country Song?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.