AI · resolved market
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe31c723904acac71cc80162b26c6c9a9e8247cf9fd3f62ce588012a1b1d102dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x726c…2558backed Yes | 24c | 29,660$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 75c | 10,765$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.93 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 5c | 9,840$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 61c | 5,851$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 5,317$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…8e90backed Yes | 21c | 4,925$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 10c | 4,414$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.69 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 10c | 2,673$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 18c | 2,551$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…8469backed Yes | 71c | 2,300$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 6c | 1,835$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,607$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 1,578$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,517$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,463$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…bf2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,346$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…39edbacked Yes | 10c | 1,244$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 80c | 1,192$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…60e5backed Yes | 6c | 1,143$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 14c | 1,047$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…046abacked Yes | 7c | 1,029$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 12c | 1,021$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,015$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…e65ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 23c | 999.91$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 974.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…c9a2backed Yes | 6c | 890$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 57c | 799.97$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…3766backed Yes | 7c | 741.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…e5f3backed Yes | 6c | 715.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 23c | 655.07$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 635.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 57c | 626.13$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 612.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…dc88backed No | 43c | 589.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 578.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 18c | 552.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 543.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 528.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 39c | 465.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…04a7backed Yes | 15c | 462.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 6c | 439.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 407.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 406.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 404.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 31c | 403.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4623backed Yes | 7c | 402.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…c002backed Yes | 13c | 391.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 390.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 5c | 383.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…7f7bbacked Yes | 11c | 364.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed Yes | 61c | 339.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…0da1backed Yes | 18c | 339.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 9c | 336.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d7e1backed Yes | 6c | 319.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…368cbacked Yes | 13c | 311.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 310.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…0e4cbacked No | 33c | 307.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +305.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 75c | 303.11$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 296.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 5c | 283.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…7343backed Yes | 30c | 281.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 276.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…fecabacked Yes | 80c | 264.96$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…d430backed Yes | 12c | 259.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…95cfbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…34f4backed Yes | 6c | 248.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 230.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401c…ee2dbacked Yes | 13c | 229.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 228.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbeb…2803backed Yes | 7c | 224.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…4832backed No | 45c | 222.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed Yes | 78c | 210$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 191.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…4b47backed Yes | 11c | 189.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…ad40backed Yes | 19c | 181.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…d152backed No | 23c | 175.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +338%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 58c | 169.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 7c | 166.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…b557backed No | 18c | 165.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +317.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 13c | 164.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 67c | 164.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 20c | 163.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…8c4bbacked No | 41c | 156$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…cb66backed No | 41c | 156$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9a…74a1backed No | 41c | 153$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 70c | 147.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…a6cdbacked No | 41c | 147$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 37c | 145.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…edaabacked No | 41c | 144$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 40c | 143.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…2bc2backed Yes | 77c | 139.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…ecb5backed No | 41c | 139$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f300backed No | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes won
- Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.