TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb64f…dc88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: AI, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category AI at 60 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$104.48
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3,615.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+59%+$59.02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$127.97
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.06
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$75.71
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+133%+$6,697.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$141.68
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$141.68
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+104.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+493.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+493.8%+$11,310.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+102%+$325.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump alleges foreign election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$771.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.