Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c80283c21ca31e6b915ef81ecba68ec6a86b31dbf6e3923f41ceb7dc6eca71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,057,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 69c | 429,394$297,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,760.18 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 34c | 186,885$63,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,996.17 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 70,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed LGD Gaming | 31c | 67,000$20,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,765.07 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 61,148$18,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,099.72 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 70c | 40,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 65c | 32,844$21,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,511.68 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 23c | 31,136$7,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,151.11 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed LGD Gaming | 30c | 29,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.99 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed LGD Gaming | 34c | 26,000$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,709.96 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 24,688$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,887.67 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 21,750$6,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 54c | 20,661$11,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,497.61 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 19,871$5,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,893.48 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 69c | 19,095$13,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891.55 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora | 61c | 17,113$10,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.93 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked LGD Gaming | 31c | 16,544$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 35c | 15,320$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.28 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 14,544$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.78 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 68c | 12,710$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.33 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 64c | 12,468$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.95 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Aurora | 64c | 12,405$7,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.89 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed LGD Gaming | 31c | 12,399$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked LGD Gaming | 38c | 12,000$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 10,875$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 9,939$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.64 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked LGD Gaming | 1c | 6,864$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Aurora | 63c | 6,580$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.65 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked LGD Gaming | 32c | 6,550$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 67c | 6,463$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.01 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked LGD Gaming | 31c | 6,309$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 16c | 5,383$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming | 21c | 5,207$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.86 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Aurora | 69c | 5,058$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.97 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked LGD Gaming | 31c | 5,047$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 4,598$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.34 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked LGD Gaming | 24c | 4,551$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 68c | 4,450$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 4,324$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.81 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 57c | 4,323$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.29 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed LGD Gaming | 8c | 4,249$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Aurora | 64c | 4,017$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.96 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 3,620$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.43 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed LGD Gaming | 30c | 3,575$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.52 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 66c | 3,500$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked LGD Gaming | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 22c | 3,292$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 64c | 3,262$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.7 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed LGD Gaming | 32c | 3,091$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.98 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LGD Gaming | 25c | 3,067$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.49 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed LGD Gaming | 16c | 3,060$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.61 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed LGD Gaming | 34c | 3,043$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.11 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LGD Gaming | 8c | 3,032$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LGD Gaming | 27c | 3,007$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.7 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 67c | 2,983$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.56 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed LGD Gaming | 30c | 2,959$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.6 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 73c | 2,900$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.31 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 29c | 2,854$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked LGD Gaming | 4c | 2,843$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Aurora | 69c | 2,767$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.34 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed LGD Gaming | 30c | 2,622$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 2,258$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.42 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 69c | 2,214$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.2 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 74c | 2,111$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.16 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 16c | 2,041$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed LGD Gaming | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 29c | 2,000$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.89 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Aurora | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed LGD Gaming | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 27c | 1,945$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed LGD Gaming | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 61c | 1,849$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.28 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed LGD Gaming | 34c | 1,825$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 1,803$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed LGD Gaming | 5c | 1,788$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 67c | 1,781$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.95 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed LGD Gaming | 31c | 1,720$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Aurora | 61c | 1,679$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.8 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked LGD Gaming | 3c | 1,650$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,592$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.18 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 65c | 1,534$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 67c | 1,520$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.62 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked LGD Gaming | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora | 70c | 1,496$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Aurora | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked LGD Gaming | 22c | 1,412$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.49 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed LGD Gaming | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked LGD Gaming | 26c | 1,349$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked LGD Gaming | 31c | 1,348$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed LGD Gaming | 7c | 1,300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 1,285$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.3 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 75c | 1,250$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 31c | 1,150$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.16 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 1,139$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.