Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df1e62c95102940e53d5e10a1c82d1d95e2566ad6738444f39987ddc487b443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Aurora, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $935,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 135,759$65,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,594.52 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 100,700$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,700.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 54c | 54,750$29,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,512.48 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.97 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 12c | 35,992$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 18c | 35,353$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.94 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 29,843$23,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.01 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 52c | 25,100$13,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,052 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Aurora | 29c | 18,598$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 18,348$8,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,722.63 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 56c | 18,238$10,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,272.09 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 51c | 17,427$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,887.76 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 55c | 17,364$9,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,611.7 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Aurora | 54c | 17,022$9,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,191.94 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 36c | 12,625$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.84 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 11,918$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.05 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 35c | 10,501$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.88 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 31c | 10,133$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.87 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 30c | 9,488$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 23c | 8,994$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.32 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Aurora | 33c | 8,608$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.28 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 8,549$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.86 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Aurora | 35c | 7,996$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.22 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 7,863$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 7,628$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 7,551$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 52c | 7,412$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 7,386$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.59 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 33c | 6,560$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.41 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 6,471$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.53 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 50c | 6,412$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.29 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora | 15c | 6,209$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.36 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 6,001$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.08 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 5,771$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.9 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 5,675$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.16 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 5,459$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Aurora | 55c | 5,384$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.34 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 32c | 4,950$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 4,659$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.47 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…b4b4backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 4,374$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 35c | 3,914$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.8 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 3,683$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.13 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 3,661$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 58c | 3,655$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 3,396$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.18 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 3,283$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.82 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 32c | 3,101$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.31 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,942$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.67 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 2,882$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.09 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 2,815$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.24 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 2,812$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.69 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 2,778$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.22 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked LGD Gaming | 46c | 2,767$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.66 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 55c | 2,743$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 55c | 2,731$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.71 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,663$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Aurora | 41c | 2,652$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Aurora | 53c | 2,620$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.39 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 2,606$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.08 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 2,539$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.81 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 2,314$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.9 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 2,280$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked Aurora | 18c | 2,230$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 14c | 2,210$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 55c | 2,171$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.42 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 2,100$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.6 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 2,036$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.02 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.9 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…3c97backed Aurora | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 29c | 1,996$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.51 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Aurora | 54c | 1,947$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.32 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,923$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,854$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.41 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,828$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.39 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.48 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 1,750$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.47 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora | 55c | 1,683$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.65 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 1,666$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.56 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Aurora | 53c | 1,625$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.12 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 1,556$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…d3d4backed Aurora | 39c | 1,551$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Aurora | 38c | 1,532$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,519$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 1,503$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.35 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,499$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.91 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,469$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,428$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.66 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Aurora | 49c | 1,425$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.95 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,419$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.09 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Aurora | 55c | 1,416$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.59 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 1,349$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.05 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.