Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54df2e7ec11670cc3586dbdfd7418e3f21ab0a69a154db12eec1c9a2ac95c7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Aurora, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,225,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,414,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,225,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,085,358$621,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464,158.87 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 53c | 349,617$186,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,023.18 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 34c | 275,256$93,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,058.21 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Aurora | 42c | 165,000$69,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,900 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 50c | 136,106$68,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,248.24 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 42c | 84,717$35,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,334.79 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 45c | 77,586$35,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,256.43 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 56,191$25,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,079.86 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 55c | 50,248$27,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,735.91 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked LGD Gaming | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 39,833$23,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,826.71 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 48c | 38,079$18,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,429.73 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora | 48c | 36,595$17,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,627.58 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 42c | 35,000$14,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,580 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora | 49c | 32,725$16,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,107.78 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Aurora | 43c | 32,071$13,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,910.59 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Aurora | 46c | 31,173$14,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,409.84 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 49c | 30,220$14,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,807.89 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 28,370$13,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,886.26 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 47c | 25,106$11,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,862.39 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 44c | 23,983$10,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,642.21 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 50c | 23,628$11,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,788.66 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.9 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Aurora | 75c | 21,780$16,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,248.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora | 52c | 21,719$11,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,187.26 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 43c | 20,762$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,934.41 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 57c | 20,051$11,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,429.34 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aurora | 55c | 19,000$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,450 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 17,845$10,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,347 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 17,072$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.8 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 42c | 17,005$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,201.64 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 45c | 15,513$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.86 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 15,478$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.3 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 48c | 14,054$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,738.58 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 14,039$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.17 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 45c | 14,037$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.04 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Aurora | 79c | 13,717$10,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,826.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Aurora | 72c | 11,823$8,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,537.59 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora | 49c | 11,807$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.05 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 11,034$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.02 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 34c | 11,016$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.27 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 10,661$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.82 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 10,245$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.96 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Aurora | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Aurora | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 42c | 9,867$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.08 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 50c | 9,497$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.07 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…b4b4backed Aurora | 77c | 9,307$7,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,209.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…d455backed Aurora | 53c | 9,147$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 43c | 9,087$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.35 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 8,820$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.47 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 55c | 8,695$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.18 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 43c | 8,661$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.25 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 8,470$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.75 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 45c | 8,367$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora | 54c | 8,106$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.06 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Aurora | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…4790backed Aurora | 53c | 7,957$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 7,735$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 7,714$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.56 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 7,464$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.36 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 7,270$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.13 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…ab38backed Aurora | 53c | 7,228$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 41c | 7,094$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 7,082$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.17 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 36c | 7,001$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.37 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Aurora | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.99 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 6,984$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 6,842$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.04 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 41c | 6,797$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.63 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 6,661$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.52 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora | 46c | 6,570$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.57 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 6,137$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.78 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 6,001$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.56 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 6,000$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.41 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora | 54c | 5,947$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.77 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 41c | 5,681$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 5,450$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 41c | 5,397$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 5,356$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.64 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 77c | 5,280$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.6 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 5,256$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.26 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 5,201$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.36 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 5,034$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Aurora | 40c | 4,931$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 51c | 4,862$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Aurora | 54c | 4,644$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 54c | 4,362$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.65 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 42c | 4,362$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.98 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Aurora | 71c | 4,248$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 42c | 4,164$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora | 58c | 4,100$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 4,013$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.04 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.