TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auroraof Team Yandex, Aurora
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,259,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,668,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,259,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex68c173,185$117,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,155.3228748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora32c165,500$52,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,558.8916147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora55c41,519$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,519.2817948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex68c33,500$22,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,78080256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora39c30,735$11,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,748.548847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex61c25,000$15,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,249.6533746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Yandex61c22,281$13,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,636.131248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Yandex60c20,267$12,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,089.5711953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora39c18,144$7,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,987.9428159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex58c16,769$9,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,760.371,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex46c15,455$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,175.9789741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,15036041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Aurora32c14,988$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,135.311735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora45c13,755$6,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,553.411,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex52c13,689$7,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,147.581,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora41c13,423$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,938.118351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora35c13,111$4,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,522.1541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Yandex67c12,742$8,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,589.9327153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex54c12,582$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,825.5996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Aurora35c12,555$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,145.3371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex69c12,546$8,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6591,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Aurora32c12,089$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,211.1943344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Yandex69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.9924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex47c9,597$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,532.241,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd472…a5b2backed Aurora59c8,548$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.951070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora48c8,019$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,205.8551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex48c7,838$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.431,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex46c7,795$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.211,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora42c7,713$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,470.135062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex65c7,655$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,011.5434468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Aurora36c7,417$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.916842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Team Yandex76c7,145$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora46c6,888$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.0516954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex69c6,573$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.7556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Yandex69c6,500$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,49036248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora45c6,457$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.4748539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex68c6,453$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.6961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex48c6,401$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.8889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Yandex50c6,231$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.8669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex47c6,160$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.6268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex30c6,152$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.1148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Aurora43c6,128$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.723644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Yandex46c5,947$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.495244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora53c5,916$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.9914825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.979839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Aurora41c5,390$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.9210551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora67c5,386$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.628251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora33c5,320$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.44035%14 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Aurora31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora65c4,921$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.8313558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora43c4,618$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.7245139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex59c4,586$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.2837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora44c4,459$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.1761057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team Yandex66c4,260$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.5325248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked Team Yandex63c4,230$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.022560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora66c4,138$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.7233453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora55c4,108$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.8510051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d6…e66cbacked Team Yandex50c4,039$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora31c4,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Aurora40c3,944$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.2513854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Team Yandex59c3,923$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora49c3,784$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.22,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Aurora48c3,750$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.0825446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora59c3,692$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.916541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked Team Yandex1c3,629$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.232119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Aurora48c3,625$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.621,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex59c3,576$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.1211647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Yandex57c3,548$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.1816945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex54c3,402$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.9393546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Team Yandex69c3,350$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.511753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora30c3,159$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.1569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked Team Yandex14c3,046$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Aurora41c3,000$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.993847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex46c3,000$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.1829348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Yandex53c2,998$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.4177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex64c2,937$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.1253764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Team Yandex49c2,813$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3789650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Aurora41c2,533$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.1617946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora33c2,501$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Yandex61c2,460$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora39c2,449$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.3899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Yandex59c2,400$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora67c2,385$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3435960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Aurora67c2,220$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.582347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex67c2,216$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.8749455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora41c2,174$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.6832951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Yandex66c2,159$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.3735951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aurora42c2,127$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.317146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora46c2,025$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.432652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Aurora47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0607656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Yandex1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Aurora53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.994957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora38c1,954$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.2279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Team Yandex67c1,947$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30023459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Yandex59c1,922$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.5620740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora54c1,917$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.2354246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora51c1,900$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora32c1,895$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.4688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Yandex49c1,890$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.4632441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Yandex53c1,888$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6415457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.