Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820d29ed21e6eb88c5093296fc9cc46099237c4bf697baa5598ae786667deb90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $726,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf72…6378backed No | 4c | 19,179$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.62 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 19c | 10,729$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.05 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…9b4ebacked Yes | 59c | 7,990$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 15c | 7,796$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.39 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 13c | 6,030$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.96 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,157$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.03 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…eee6backed No | 10c | 5,154$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 77c | 4,633$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.27 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 30c | 4,064$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.34 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…136dbacked No | 36c | 4,000$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.25 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…23d7backed Yes | 56c | 3,912$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 12c | 3,664$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,521$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.34 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 26c | 2,796$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.17 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 78c | 2,774$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.36 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 37c | 2,524$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.74 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 32c | 2,507$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.6 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 37c | 2,475$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.96 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 74c | 2,335$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.01 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…2266backed Yes | 37c | 2,329$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…3cf1backed No | 7c | 2,200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…9400backed No | 45c | 2,142$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed No | 10c | 2,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 12c | 1,986$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed No | 22c | 1,975$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.98 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,951$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.91 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 52c | 1,882$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.49 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…cd0abacked No | 23c | 1,763$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 63c | 1,650$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.56 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 30c | 1,635$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.02 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 1,472$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.39 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 48c | 1,439$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.77 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 12c | 1,435$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed No | 12c | 1,425$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 48c | 1,347$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.55 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…52b1backed No | 40c | 1,333$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…9e28backed Yes | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed No | 73c | 1,318$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.96 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 36c | 1,289$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.22 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 26c | 1,258$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 12c | 1,249$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 61c | 1,228$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.63 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…a191backed No | 35c | 1,178$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 41c | 1,135$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.52 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…1152backed Yes | 77c | 1,095$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 14c | 1,091$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.25 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…a958backed No | 22c | 1,090$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292f…918dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,072$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.32 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…f57ebacked No | 54c | 1,059$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 21c | 1,046$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.15 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 23c | 1,029$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.81 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,027$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…cb8cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,020$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +431.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…b129backed Yes | 79c | 1,001$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…bc09backed Yes | 74c | 995.21$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…044dbacked Yes | 18c | 993.86$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.53 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 32c | 970.31$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc267…850fbacked No | 15c | 967.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…ac7fbacked Yes | 72c | 948.62$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 22c | 930.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.9 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…9c6cbacked No | 51c | 906.34$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…0d7dbacked Yes | 29c | 862$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.8 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…1631backed Yes | 56c | 846.84$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.32 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 64c | 820.21$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.42 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…425ebacked Yes | 29c | 796.79$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.3 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…aa71backed No | 21c | 783.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…be50backed No | 15c | 756.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e11ebacked Yes | 80c | 724.44$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed No | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 7c | 699.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda1f…eaf7backed Yes | 16c | 696.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 692.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.89 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…9f50backed Yes | 45c | 679.41$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 42c | 678.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.03 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 74c | 675.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes | 57c | 656.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 72c | 649.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…0d3dbacked Yes | 56c | 622.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 66c | 614.31$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 78c | 600$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 71c | 600$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…560cbacked No | 19c | 599.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked No | 13c | 570.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…86fbbacked No | 22c | 566.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 25c | 559.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed Yes | 79c | 555.25$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…d8c3backed Yes | 73c | 553$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 19c | 534.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.62 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 19c | 534.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 43c | 524.2$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…d03bbacked No | 20c | 524.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 55c | 520.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 65c | 514.56$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 56c | 500.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.81 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…252cbacked No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…0538backed No | 17c | 498.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 45c | 495.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…ab00backed No | 25c | 491.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed No | 74c | 490$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.01 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.