Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc588a6eda4346b85b7d85b1261e959caf23de329742cc8b6155724357aeb26b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $433,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 1c | 36,862$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 7,755$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 0c | 5,478$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 1c | 5,348$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed Yes | 1c | 4,300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 5c | 3,050$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 13c | 2,883$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.84 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,693$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.97 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc267…850fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,563$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…0d06backed Yes | 4c | 2,412$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 17c | 2,276$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.55 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,186$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,849$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,766$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,747$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 26c | 1,570$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.27 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…9062backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 79c | 1,468$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.62 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 8c | 1,450$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 6c | 1,288$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,159$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,051$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 13c | 988.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…bfb2backed Yes | 15c | 983.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes | 4c | 898.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 866.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 2c | 826.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 13c | 772.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…0ce1backed Yes | 6c | 689.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…8e4ebacked Yes | 2c | 533.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 4c | 499.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 12c | 491.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 13c | 423.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 5c | 399.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 10c | 386.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…128ebacked Yes | 14c | 356.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 13c | 356.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 12c | 306.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 14c | 299.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes | 11c | 297.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 106 | 17%18 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 5c | 291.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 8c | 233.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2194…3a90backed Yes | 19c | 204.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 16c | 200.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 23c | 200.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…8034backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 24c | 189.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x915b…2729backed Yes | 18c | 182.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 122 | 18.9%23 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 16c | 171.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Yes | 13c | 168.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…3fd6backed Yes | 9c | 160.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…0420backed Yes | 25c | 144.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…83b5backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…f98fbacked Yes | 18c | 123.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +97%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…b89abacked Yes | 11c | 113.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…d636backed Yes | 16c | 108.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd293…a4e3backed Yes | 19c | 106.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes | 17c | 106.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 177 | 20.9%37 W · 140 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2732…e2a6backed Yes | 11c | 102.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…0f98backed Yes | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…f560backed Yes | 23c | 100.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…e6a7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…2c01backed Yes | 16c | 97.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…a93dbacked Yes | 19c | 86.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9992backed Yes | 27c | 85.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…ff35backed Yes | 17c | 71.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 24c | 67.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6587backed Yes | 22c | 58.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 470 | 32.6%153 W · 317 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 22c | 47.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 74c | 39.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 75c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.