Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c00e0b3496643347584a667a585f8a0cb151e0b26dceeda57148173b30b562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 7c | 6,118$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.12 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 39c | 3,891$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.23 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,764$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.52 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 14c | 3,668$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.94 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,589$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.97 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 45c | 3,367$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.73 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Yes | 11c | 3,191$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 15c | 2,712$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 6c | 2,483$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3559backed Yes | 19c | 2,367$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.42 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,365$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…2266backed Yes | 40c | 2,339$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 2,244$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 18c | 2,010$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.87 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 63c | 1,910$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 29c | 1,810$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.9 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,751$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 24c | 1,570$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…efe5backed Yes | 10c | 1,523$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 52c | 1,496$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.35 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…c2a0backed No | 80c | 1,421$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…9e28backed No | 75c | 1,328$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 38c | 1,300$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.87 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…1631backed Yes | 22c | 1,287$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed Yes | 10c | 1,280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 63c | 1,271$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.26 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 20c | 1,254$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 16c | 1,252$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.81 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…4285backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 11c | 1,173$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…f270backed Yes | 9c | 1,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 13c | 1,049$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…eee6backed No | 65c | 1,047$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.47 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 7c | 1,041$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 44c | 959.01$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.13 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed No | 77c | 919$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed Yes | 69c | 910$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.95 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 15c | 905.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec6…4558backed Yes | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 7c | 899.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…77ebbacked Yes | 17c | 879.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 43c | 873.63$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 34c | 856.74$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…9f02backed Yes | 17c | 856.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 26c | 846.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.12 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 836.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 25c | 829.92$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 22c | 815.75$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…044dbacked Yes | 48c | 799.24$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.14 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 26c | 769.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…b129backed Yes | 19c | 749.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 36c | 739.66$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…0083backed Yes | 65c | 739.53$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 55c | 698.27$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 28c | 687.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…9f50backed Yes | 37c | 683.23$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 670.85$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 9c | 650.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 78c | 630.25$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc267…850fbacked Yes | 21c | 623.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 49c | 623.32$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…9eaabacked Yes | 7c | 612.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 40c | 599.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 10c | 595.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed Yes | 17c | 583$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 33c | 576.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 55c | 561.53$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 46c | 535.51$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.34 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 14c | 520.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 17c | 516.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…0e3abacked Yes | 2c | 516.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…c2e9backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 60c | 495.91$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Yes | 11c | 493.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…a93dbacked Yes | 23c | 485.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 20c | 480$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…d518backed No | 53c | 459.47$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…96d9backed Yes | 49c | 445.74$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1df7backed Yes | 25c | 443.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 24.4%44 W · 136 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 430.64$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 56c | 425.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 36c | 420.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…efb9backed Yes | 45c | 416.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 9c | 408.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 68c | 404.05$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…3853backed Yes | 25c | 401$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…d8c3backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 24c | 368.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…ca35backed Yes | 63c | 361.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 55c | 350.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…4e9ebacked Yes | 50c | 323.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 48c | 316.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 14c | 316.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…cbd4backed Yes | 32c | 312.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.