TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee76…8fce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+235.8%+$143.82
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$454.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.28
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$778
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$14.9
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wangbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$320.27
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+317.2%+$793.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierrabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$326.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.