Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6eda6d7f01af6d97588d836a2a34d67d2005de053bfa04662d19c33746a6964

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $502,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $384,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,298 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	8c	26,676$2,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,266.23	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	11c	9,687$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.27	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	26c	9,137$2,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,361.88	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	30c	8,595$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.81	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	43c	7,100$3,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,019.18	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	26c	6,150$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.24	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	8c	6,000$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	79c	5,722$4,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,228.17	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	19c	5,698$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.09	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	26c	5,474$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.86	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	5,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	27c	4,672$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.22	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	70c	4,610$3,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.9	119	26.9%32 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	28c	4,570$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,277.36	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	76c	4,516$3,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.92	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	19c	4,323$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.4	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	8c	3,783$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.62	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	10c	3,780$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.56	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	15c	3,558$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.51	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	16c	3,411$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.26	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	19c	3,316$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.84	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	23c	3,235$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.99	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	3,146$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.08	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes	2c	3,134$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	25c	2,989$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.41	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	63c	2,962$1,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.02	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	27c	2,955$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.08	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	5c	2,950$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.3	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	15c	2,858$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.4	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	15c	2,854$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.92	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	31c	2,797$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.29	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	43c	2,740$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.02	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed No	59c	2,629$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.25	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	2,528$1,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.38	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	23c	2,464$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.38	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	77c	2,449$1,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.54	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	18c	2,439$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.58	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	15c	2,103$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.38	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed Yes	6c	2,030$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.3	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	56c	2,018$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.72	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	20c	2,018$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.93	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	72c	1,995$1,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.56	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	64c	1,970$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.18	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	35c	1,860$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.08	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	23c	1,818$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.18	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	60c	1,762$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.16	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	72c	1,728$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.85	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	1,708$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.84	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fa…1faebacked No	62c	1,700$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	20c	1,610$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.22	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	74c	1,600$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.43	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	25c	1,599$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.71	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	21c	1,578$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.27	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked No	56c	1,546$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.64	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	26c	1,538$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.34	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	7c	1,531$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.07	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	31c	1,498$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.57	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	25c	1,458$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.87	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	77c	1,456$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6261…2e11backed No	70c	1,430$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	20c	1,409$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.79	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes	3c	1,400$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	32c	1,391$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.05	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No	65c	1,386$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.94	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	30c	1,379$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.45	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	66c	1,378$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.48	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	11c	1,349$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	33c	1,330$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.67	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	69c	1,314$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.46	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	62c	1,242$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.36	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed Yes	40c	1,238$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.32	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	12c	1,236$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	19c	1,228$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.54	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	15c	1,199$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.05	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	13c	1,192$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	34c	1,184$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.2	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…8d9dbacked Yes	3c	1,154$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	22c	1,153$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	68c	1,122$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.49	308	54.9%169 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	25c	1,115$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.01	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98d…5a68backed Yes	10c	1,107$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.9	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	45c	1,065$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.83	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	27c	1,060$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.62	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6c5…e133backed Yes	33c	1,045$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.77	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	11c	1,038$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.21	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	57c	1,037$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.6	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	7c	1,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	31c	999.99$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.4	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	31c	998.99$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.57	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	25c	992.06$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	25c	970.36$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.81	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	26c	956.87$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	23c	939.33$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.69	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes	36c	931.89$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.23	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	34c	926.72$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.48	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	36c	894.52$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.23	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event