Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6237ee16079951c0ee9cdd84a8b401a52dacba9c01f187942bcd5d13dbadabaf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $257,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $158,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	7,801$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.23	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	7,706$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.81	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	7,035$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.25	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3367…e5dcbacked Yes	3c	7,005$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.99	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	7c	6,934$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.71	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	6,847$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.85	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	1c	5,929$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.59	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	4,952$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	4,833$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	18c	4,376$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.97	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	3,748$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.67	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes	1c	3,592$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	3,016$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	5c	2,796$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.06	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	1c	2,740$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	2,320$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.17	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	10c	2,286$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.23	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,283$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	9c	1,956$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.18	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,900$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	9c	1,828$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.25	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	10c	1,778$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.22	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	1,752$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.58	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	1,709$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9019…232dbacked Yes	2c	1,672$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,670$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.23	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,612$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.81	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	14c	1,602$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.29	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	1,364$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.4	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	1,277$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	5c	1,224$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	19c	1,204$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.91	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	11c	1,178$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.69	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	5c	1,174$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.72	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	8c	1,119$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.14	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,084$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	1,077$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.95	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	1,052$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	16c	1,020$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.22	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	1c	934$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	1c	922.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	4c	873.56$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.45	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	808.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	802.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	9c	769.64$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	5c	748.35$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	5c	737.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	3c	635$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	633.91$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.78	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x391f…cf8dbacked Yes	3c	611.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	5c	599.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	5c	593$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	11c	585.1$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.21	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	80c	574.75$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.95	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	563.31$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	5c	525$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	6c	468.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb20f…1a7dbacked Yes	20c	450$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	3c	449.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2923…77d5backed Yes	6c	444.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339d…06dabacked Yes	16c	430.2$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.43	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	21c	415.02$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.12	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	14c	415.01$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.56	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	6c	400.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	14c	399.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	14c	356.61$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	20c	350.4$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0e…5df8backed Yes	14c	350$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes	20c	334.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.96	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	9c	311.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	6c	311.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcd80…4f46backed Yes	7c	304.9$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	16c	304.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…2fd1backed Yes	16c	303.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	12c	301.03$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c7…9100backed Yes	15c	299.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x576a…b26dbacked Yes	17c	281.34$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.65	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes	18c	270$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	14c	269.11$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.61	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	11c	264.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	15c	258.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	17c	252.82$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	18c	243.93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.77	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes	6c	243.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	6c	217$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cc…fe89backed Yes	20c	213.19$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.14	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f57…9424backed Yes	6c	203.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	22cpaid	+36%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	201.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	17c	200.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.76	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…318fbacked Yes	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	111	14.4%16 W · 95 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes	10c	180.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	99	22.2%22 W · 77 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	20c	178.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.12	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	6c	166.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	8c	158$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b3…98f4backed Yes	14c	155.08$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Yes	13c	151.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event