TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x576a…b26d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Charrados FC (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$14.34
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$7.18
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.31
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$125.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Singapore win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$10.01
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.