TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,456,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,456,570 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes72c711,625$509,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509,899.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No28c233,796$65,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,333.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No28c91,094$25,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,336.843351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No29c64,492$18,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,617.675040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes72c50,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,999.92540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No30c42,768$12,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,937.654940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No28c42,600$11,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,671.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c38,018$27,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,373.724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No29c36,068$10,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,608.284447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes70c31,561$22,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,238.1652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No30c28,188$8,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,862.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No28c28,000$7,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0601573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No28c26,075$7,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,773.793050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c25,559$10,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,820.1271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c23,442$6,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,791.8587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No28c23,188$6,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,654.294551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c21,800$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,695.894030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c16,863$6,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,940.41,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes71c15,000$10,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,649.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes71c14,382$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,200.0521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No29c14,096$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,944.712842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No29c10,980$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,830.6715455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No29c10,073$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,152.681844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.9514346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.833240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No30c8,520$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9642835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No29c8,500$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes72c8,126$5,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,831.3431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes70c7,303$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,112.39159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No29c7,096$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,038.052536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No28c7,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0402751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No30c6,204$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.672466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes4c5,944$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes67c5,150$3,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4381631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5006553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c4,948$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.48368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No29c4,450$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+85.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No28c4,260$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No29c4,260$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.61838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes37c4,060$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes71c4,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8404057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No49c3,844$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.215048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes72c3,800$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7363964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No29c3,600$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No29c3,507$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.771888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No29c3,474$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+114.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes31c3,385$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1605060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.95933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No29c2,850$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes71c2,817$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.0529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes8c2,750$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No28c2,520$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No28c2,430$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c2,348$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.9337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes70c2,302$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.417043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No30c2,272$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No29c2,207$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.91330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes14c2,176$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes70c2,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c2,123$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.6662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4602642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No29c1,989$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.882944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No56c1,948$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.5126346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No27c1,932$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.5338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No29c1,834$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.561145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes8c1,800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x040b…f3a0backed Yes6c1,791$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b77…ee2cbacked Yes72c1,736$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c1,716$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes72c1,548$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.569747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No27c1,517$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.3712957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes2c1,502$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No30c1,491$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.73450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Yes9c1,477$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes42c1,407$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No29c1,371$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.631275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes23c1,345$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes72c1,316$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.522548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes25c1,285$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No29c1,282$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.53per pick31cpaid+168.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e95…dbf0backed Yes6c1,141$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+194.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No52c1,111$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.173745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No29c1,108$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.183324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes73c1,080$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes72c1,071$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7713138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa08d…4ddbbacked Yes71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes45c932.84$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes22c927.07$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c924.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.