TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,537 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c2,889$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.1248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No80c2,391$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.335100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c21backed Yes30c2,129$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c2,000$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes15c1,922$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes16c1,853$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes16c1,828$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes11c1,827$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b77…ee2cbacked Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes31c1,614$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba30…ca1cbacked Yes14c1,441$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes17c1,288$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2192133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c1,067$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes8c1,023$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes30c1,010$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes17c712.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes16c667.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.835037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed Yes17c558$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.79450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+94.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes20c486.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No74c457.95$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c456.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…1dd3backed Yes18c444.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…27c6backed Yes17c423.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes16c401$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.162123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes17c395.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No80c380.17$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes17c370$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.91838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2079…33d8backed Yes17c347.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes21c334.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes25c329.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes27c280.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes17c258.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c231.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes22c231.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes27c214.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5780…8c92backed Yes31c196.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes18c175.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3748…d0b8backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes17c170.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5289…2154backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes14c159.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.125322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+146.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…6002backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes17c135.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No79c133$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes16c125.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bdb…2788backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c120.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bd…cddbbacked Yes17c118.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes19c117.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf355…5ab7backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd068…c3bfbacked Yes17c112.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes28c106.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes19c105.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f56…3f67backed Yes17c104$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9f…f70abacked Yes17c95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c88.61$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7224052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Yes17c88.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes30c87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.160%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb7…86afbacked Yes17c86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…fd52backed Yes17c86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…4489backed Yes17c86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a2…ef0ebacked Yes17c84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Yes20c79.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes22c76.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.955832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb986…d5bfbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12f…8973backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287d…4867backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.