Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72599acf3595be26a40e545049222f9992f27281d549fb57faa394808a4d136

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $430,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $271,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,761 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	18,931$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.22	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	13c	10,161$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.26	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	8,819$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.79	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	4c	7,900$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.76	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	7,511$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.18	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	7,325$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,447.35	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	7,311$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.31	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	7c	7,179$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.07	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	5,379$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	7c	5,214$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.71	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	9c	4,646$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.13	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	4,502$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.42	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	8c	4,262$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.3	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	6c	4,233$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.98	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	4c	3,720$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.54	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	14c	3,691$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.07	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes	6c	3,660$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.91	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	3,500$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	9c	3,266$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	3,129$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.49	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	2,993$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.83	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	5c	2,792$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.72	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	8c	2,775$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.71	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	16c	2,764$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.98	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	2,759$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.63	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	2,755$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.92	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	2,683$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.67	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	2,625$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.58	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	75c	2,572$1,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.17	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	21c	2,481$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.8	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	9c	2,336$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.7	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	9c	2,183$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	14c	2,080$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.31	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	14c	2,048$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.19	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	5c	2,015$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.39	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	2,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.62	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	6c	1,958$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.44	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	7c	1,895$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.6	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	3c	1,860$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.17	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x409c…9ac8backed Yes	8c	1,850$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	121	24%29 W · 92 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	7c	1,820$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.39	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	1,818$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…7d52backed Yes	28c	1,745$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	1,660$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.12	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	13c	1,632$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.57	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	7c	1,615$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.03	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	16c	1,513$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.66	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	5c	1,498$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.34	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	9c	1,491$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.15	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3367…e5dcbacked Yes	5c	1,445$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.47	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	4c	1,431$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.92	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	12c	1,424$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.45	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	1,420$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.8	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	3c	1,412$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfae…9dedbacked Yes	4c	1,331$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	4c	1,228$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	4c	1,205$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.71	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	8c	1,200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.8	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	18c	1,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	1,193$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	4c	1,166$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.08	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	8c	1,134$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	8c	1,100$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.8	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	6c	1,068$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	1c	1,067$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	16c	1,036$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.76	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes	6c	990.64$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.97	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f61…2680backed Yes	24c	979.92$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.55	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Yes	3c	929.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	15c	923.53$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.74	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	13c	903.23$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.63	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	897.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	6c	833.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.55	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	27c	824.57$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.27	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Yes	8c	809.57$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	221	42.5%94 W · 127 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	804.35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	10c	791.76$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.39	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	10c	782.78$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.71	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Yes	15c	767.67$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.19	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	765.22$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.13	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	16c	734.97$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.8	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	2c	700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	13c	692.14$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.87	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	8c	685.73$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed Yes	10c	676.14$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	668.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	14c	662.79$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	15c	659.98$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.6	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	3c	638.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7581…2ca4backed Yes	4c	634.79$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	628.81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	11c	617.43$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.77	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c79…50c4backed Yes	10c	602.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	10c	600$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…3684backed Yes	15c	599.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	75c	599.99$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	7c	598.53$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.37	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	10c	595.42$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.59	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	78c	593.23$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.23	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	78c	579.86$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.41	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event