Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff528cbb3a79801d024d2c3f986536616b5037fb8097281031dc92b692578f2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $488,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $535,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,482 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	49c	11,074$5,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,637.71	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	70c	10,939$7,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,329.54	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	9c	10,492$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.11	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	40c	8,724$3,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,503.21	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	79c	8,135$6,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,724.67	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	47c	7,500$3,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,959.97	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	42c	6,694$2,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,882.55	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked No	45c	6,673$3,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,031.93	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	64c	6,487$4,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,331.75	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	38c	5,555$2,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,444.1	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	12c	5,394$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.65	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	61c	4,649$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,837.14	119	26.9%32 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	6c	4,609$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.53	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	27c	4,516$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.33	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	75c	4,196$3,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,041.4	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	56c	3,925$2,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,741.9	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	31c	3,670$1,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,521.01	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	35c	3,596$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,330.09	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	12c	3,504$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.58	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	36c	3,300$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.68	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	67c	3,251$2,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.75	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	40c	3,214$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.6	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	38c	3,205$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.78	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	76c	3,050$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.57	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	63c	3,000$1,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.15	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	39c	2,975$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,806.25	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	21c	2,939$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.93	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,842$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,344.44	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	48c	2,832$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.56	386	48.2%186 W · 200 L	+15.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked No	51c	2,745$1,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.39	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	77c	2,741$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.32	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	2,546$1,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,805.94	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	78c	2,545$1,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.72	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	45c	2,492$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.95	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	34c	2,444$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,617.7	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	33c	2,417$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.69	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	18c	2,238$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,832.58	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	25c	2,146$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.17	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	55c	2,145$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.59	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed No	3c	2,056$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	21c	2,033$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.3	308	54.9%169 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	23c	1,973$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.35	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	57c	1,852$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.74	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked No	7c	1,820$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.59	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	32c	1,776$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.62	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	39c	1,730$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.05	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	30c	1,719$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.87	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	67c	1,648$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.86	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	35c	1,625$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.04	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	60c	1,578$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.91	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,565$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.48	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	18c	1,522$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.53	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…c46ebacked Yes	39c	1,520$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	53c	1,481$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.88	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed No	23c	1,219$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.22	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	66c	1,201$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.29	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	36c	1,186$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.32	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	47c	1,146$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.48	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	65c	1,111$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.14	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	57c	1,110$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.98	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	39c	1,108$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.54	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	55c	1,084$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.72	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	10c	1,080$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.4	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	33c	1,042$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.9	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	54c	1,037$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.76	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	17c	1,033$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.39	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13d…a958backed Yes	52c	1,032$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.46	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	49c	1,028$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.56	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	32c	1,000$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	62c	1,000$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.77	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed Yes	47c	987.27$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.74	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	61c	983.9$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.97	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	29c	974.91$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.84	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	51c	947.54$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.7	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	6c	911.17$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.67	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	16c	881.11$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.11	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	44c	875.51$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.05	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	65c	846.62$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.88	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…68d4backed Yes	71c	837.13$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	13c	814$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.18	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	49c	800$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.53	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	58c	788.2$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.82	217	57.6%125 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	50c	784.22$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.32	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	46c	779.53$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.15	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	40c	752.29$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.29	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20d…d518backed No	69c	745.82$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.21	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	60c	736.7$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.19	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked No	5c	733.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	49c	729.78$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.17	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	36c	720.36$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.24	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	70c	700.18$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.75	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	43c	700$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	76c	700$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	32c	680.01$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.98	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	46c	674.87$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.97	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb06…ca56backed No	13c	669.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.4	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	32c	665.88$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.8	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	39c	662.64$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.46	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event