Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c84f9cf35f8401e57e0b8813d061060a12c373de6e17a4c3345ef1d65aacdc

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $568,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $318,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	28,179$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.12	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	2c	21,205$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.43	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	19,999$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	12,846$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	12,439$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.22	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	2c	12,319$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.68	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	10,924$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	10,751$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.93	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	10,053$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.2	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	7,446$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	7,265$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.65	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	7,140$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	6,684$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.63	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	1c	6,600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	6,129$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	2c	6,030$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.67	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	6,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	0c	5,380$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	5,167$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	4,998$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	12c	4,941$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.7	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	14c	4,504$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.25	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	2c	4,399$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	1c	4,203$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	2c	4,030$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	4,026$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.72	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	3,940$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.34	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	3,783$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.83	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	3,707$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.27	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	1c	3,247$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x937f…8362backed Yes	1c	3,185$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.08	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	13cpaid	+387.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	1c	3,125$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	3,125$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	2c	2,936$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	2,923$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.94	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	1c	2,762$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	2c	2,462$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.28	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	1c	2,406$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.82	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	3c	2,399$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.98	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	1c	2,274$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	2,240$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	2c	2,203$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	3c	2,132$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.36	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,129$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	2,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	8c	1,858$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	1,695$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	1,396$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.89	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	1c	1,290$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,270$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,259$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	1,119$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	1,033$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04f7…00f0backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	2c	997.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	986.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	2c	964.28$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	13c	949.33$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	835.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Yes	3c	810.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	6c	800$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	2c	799.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	4c	787.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	782.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x646c…dff9backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	747$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	12c	730.1$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.81	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…a9ddbacked Yes	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	2c	669.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	625.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	13c	606.38$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.89	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	600$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	6c	546.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.16	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2e…4f3dbacked Yes	3c	505.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…0ab4backed Yes	16c	498$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.95	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6293…d14dbacked Yes	2c	489.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	3c	438.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	7c	434.75$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	413.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	12c	402.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.26	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fff…3cf1backed Yes	3c	400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	352.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	14c	314.84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	14c	300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe645…fbdebacked Yes	7c	273.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	15c	271.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	11c	270.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	10c	251$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event